Ligue 1Calibrated

Rennes vs LOSC Lille

Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Rennes win	40.3%	44.9%	53.8%
Draw	24.2%	25.1%	24.4%
LOSC Lille win	35.5%	30.0%	21.8%
Rennes or draw	64.5%	—	78.3%
Rennes or LOSC Lille	75.8%	—	75.6%
Draw or LOSC Lille	59.7%	—	46.2%
Over 1.5 goals	80.4%	—	75.1%
Under 1.5 goals	19.6%	—	24.9%
Over 2.5 goals	58.1%	58.3%	52.4%
Under 2.5 goals	41.9%	41.7%	47.6%
Over 3.5 goals	35.7%	—	31.3%
Under 3.5 goals	64.3%	—	68.7%
Both teams to score	60.6%	—	52.8%
Not both teams to score	39.4%	—	47.2%
Rennes to score	79.0%	—	80.2%
LOSC Lille to score	76.7%	—	56.7%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.9%	7.1%	5.2%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
1	7.6%	11.1%	8.1%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
2	6.0%	8.7%	6.3%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
3	3.1%	4.5%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.8%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.1%
2.2–18.7%
3.1–28.1%
4.1–07.6%
5.0–17.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.46. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

RennesDLWDLW

Scored 12 · Conceded 12

Wed 4 Novat Olympiacos F.C.0–0xG 0.76–0.89
Fri 30 Octat OGC Nice2–5xG 2.30–3.29
Sun 25 Octat RC Strasbourg3–0xG 1.70–0.84
Thu 22 Octat Juventus2–2xG 2.07–2.12
Sun 18 Octat Paris3–4xG 3.05–3.25
Thu 15 Octat OFI2–1xG 1.64–0.06

LOSC LilleDWDLDL

Scored 5 · Conceded 9

Tue 3 Novat Bodø / Glimt0–0xG 0.76–0.60
Fri 30 Octat RC Lens1–0xG 1.53–0.26
Sun 25 Octat AS Monaco1–1xG 0.45–2.45
Wed 21 Octat Galatasaray2–4xG 1.59–1.32
Sat 17 Octat Stade Brestois 291–1xG 2.08–0.52
Tue 13 Octat Arsenal0–3xG 0.30–1.77

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Rennes: −0.17 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 11.51 xG, conceded 12 on 10.46 xG against.

LOSC Lille: −0.63 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 5 on 6.72 xG, conceded 9 on 6.92 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Rennes win

40.3%

44.9%

53.8%

Draw

24.2%

25.1%

24.4%

LOSC Lille win

35.5%

30.0%

21.8%

Rennes or draw

64.5%

—

78.3%

Rennes or LOSC Lille

75.8%

—

75.6%

Draw or LOSC Lille

59.7%

—

46.2%

Over 1.5 goals

80.4%

—

75.1%

Under 1.5 goals

19.6%

—

24.9%

Over 2.5 goals

58.1%

58.3%

52.4%

Under 2.5 goals

41.9%

41.7%

47.6%

Over 3.5 goals

35.7%

—

31.3%

Under 3.5 goals

64.3%

—

68.7%

Both teams to score

60.6%

—

52.8%

Not both teams to score

39.4%

—

47.2%

Rennes to score

79.0%

—

80.2%

LOSC Lille to score

76.7%

—

56.7%

4.9%

7.1%

5.2%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

7.6%

11.1%

8.1%

3.9%

1.4%

0.4%

6.0%

8.7%

6.3%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

3.1%

4.5%

3.3%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

1.2%

1.8%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%