Liga MXPartial

Atlas vs Pachuca

Sunday 8 November at 06:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Atlas win	46.3%	39.8%	38.0%
Draw	22.4%	26.9%	26.2%
Pachuca win	31.4%	33.3%	35.7%
Atlas or draw	68.6%	—	64.3%
Atlas or Pachuca	77.6%	—	73.8%
Draw or Pachuca	53.7%	—	62.0%
Over 1.5 goals	85.1%	—	75.5%
Under 1.5 goals	14.9%	—	24.5%
Over 2.5 goals	65.7%	56.1%	51.6%
Under 2.5 goals	34.3%	43.9%	48.4%
Over 3.5 goals	43.7%	—	29.7%
Under 3.5 goals	56.3%	—	70.3%
Both teams to score	65.9%	—	55.6%
Not both teams to score	34.1%	—	44.4%
Atlas to score	84.6%	—	71.8%
Pachuca to score	77.9%	—	69.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 7 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.4%	5.1%	3.9%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
1	6.4%	9.6%	7.3%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%
2	5.9%	9.0%	6.8%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
3	3.7%	5.6%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.7%	2.6%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
5	0.6%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–19.6%
2.2–19.0%
3.1–27.3%
4.2–26.8%
5.1–06.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.51. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AtlasWWLWDW

Scored 13 · Conceded 11

Sat 31 Octat Atletico San Luis1–0xG 0.74–1.29
Sun 25 Octat Puebla4–3xG 1.52–1.42
Thu 22 Octat America2–5xG 2.38–2.02
Sat 17 Octat Necaxa2–0xG 2.40–1.51
Sun 11 Octat Guadalajara1–1xG 0.58–1.51
Sat 26 Septat Tijuana3–2xG 2.72–2.03

PachucaWWLLDL

Scored 10 · Conceded 9

Sat 31 Octat Tigres UANL3–0xG 3.38–0.55
Mon 26 Octat America2–1xG 0.71–2.86
Thu 22 Octat Cruz Azul1–2xG 1.23–2.32
Mon 19 Octat Monterrey1–2xG 0.99–2.10
Sun 11 Octat Necaxa3–3xG 1.26–2.61
Sun 27 Septat Santos Laguna0–1xG 0.77–2.15

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Atlas: +0.24 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 10.34 xG, conceded 11 on 9.78 xG against.

Pachuca: +0.87 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 8.34 xG, conceded 9 on 12.58 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Atlas win

46.3%

39.8%

38.0%

Draw

22.4%

26.9%

26.2%

Pachuca win

31.4%

33.3%

35.7%

Atlas or draw

68.6%

—

64.3%

Atlas or Pachuca

77.6%

—

73.8%

Draw or Pachuca

53.7%

—

62.0%

Over 1.5 goals

85.1%

—

75.5%

Under 1.5 goals

14.9%

—

24.5%

Over 2.5 goals

65.7%

56.1%

51.6%

Under 2.5 goals

34.3%

43.9%

48.4%

Over 3.5 goals

43.7%

—

29.7%

Under 3.5 goals

56.3%

—

70.3%

Both teams to score

65.9%

—

55.6%

Not both teams to score

34.1%

—

44.4%

Atlas to score

84.6%

—

71.8%

Pachuca to score

77.9%

—

69.6%

3.4%

5.1%

3.9%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

6.4%

9.6%

7.3%

3.7%

1.4%

0.4%

5.9%

9.0%

6.8%

3.4%

1.3%

0.4%

3.7%

5.6%

4.2%

2.1%

0.8%

0.2%

1.7%

2.6%

2.0%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.6%

1.0%

0.7%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%