Liga MXPartial

Toluca vs Monterrey

Sunday 8 November at 08:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Toluca win	55.5%	58.2%	57.6%
Draw	19.9%	21.1%	21.9%
Monterrey win	24.6%	20.6%	20.5%
Toluca or draw	75.4%	—	79.5%
Toluca or Monterrey	80.1%	—	78.1%
Draw or Monterrey	44.5%	—	42.4%
Over 1.5 goals	89.0%	—	81.8%
Under 1.5 goals	11.0%	—	18.2%
Over 2.5 goals	72.7%	65.1%	62.0%
Under 2.5 goals	27.3%	34.9%	38.0%
Over 3.5 goals	52.1%	—	39.9%
Under 3.5 goals	47.9%	—	60.1%
Both teams to score	69.5%	—	60.5%
Not both teams to score	30.5%	—	39.5%
Toluca to score	89.8%	—	84.8%
Monterrey to score	77.4%	—	58.1%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.3%	3.4%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.3%	7.8%	5.8%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
2	6.0%	8.9%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%	0.4%
3	4.6%	6.8%	5.1%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	2.6%	3.9%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%
5	1.2%	1.8%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1.2–18.9%
2.1–17.8%
3.3–16.8%
4.2–26.6%
5.2–06.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.28 – 1.49. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

TolucaDDDDLD

Scored 11 · Conceded 12

Sun 1 Novat America2–2xG 2.05–2.19
Sat 24 Octat Leon1–1xG 1.48–1.73
Thu 22 Octat Tijuana2–2xG 2.49–1.51
Sun 18 Octat Atletico San Luis1–1xG 2.58–1.34
Sat 10 Octat Tigres UANL2–3xG 1.48–1.83
Sat 26 Septat Cruz Azul3–3xG 2.26–1.37

MonterreyDLWWDL

Scored 12 · Conceded 11

Sun 1 Novat Tijuana3–3xG 2.32–0.74
Sun 25 Octat Guadalajara0–1xG 2.03–1.38
Thu 22 Octat Puebla4–1xG 1.65–1.45
Mon 19 Octat Pachuca2–1xG 2.10–0.99
Sun 11 Octat America1–1xG 0.52–1.13
Sat 26 Septat Atlante2–4xG 1.49–1.49

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Toluca: −0.56 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 12.35 xG, conceded 12 on 9.98 xG against.

Monterrey: −0.32 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 10.11 xG, conceded 11 on 7.18 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Toluca win

55.5%

58.2%

57.6%

Draw

19.9%

21.1%

21.9%

Monterrey win

24.6%

20.6%

20.5%

Toluca or draw

75.4%

—

79.5%

Toluca or Monterrey

80.1%

—

78.1%

Draw or Monterrey

44.5%

—

42.4%

Over 1.5 goals

89.0%

—

81.8%

Under 1.5 goals

11.0%

—

18.2%

Over 2.5 goals

72.7%

65.1%

62.0%

Under 2.5 goals

27.3%

34.9%

38.0%

Over 3.5 goals

52.1%

—

39.9%

Under 3.5 goals

47.9%

—

60.1%

Both teams to score

69.5%

—

60.5%

Not both teams to score

30.5%

—

39.5%

Toluca to score

89.8%

—

84.8%

Monterrey to score

77.4%

—

58.1%

2.3%

3.4%

2.6%

1.3%

0.5%

0.1%

5.3%

7.8%

5.8%

2.9%

1.1%

0.3%

6.0%

8.9%

6.6%

3.3%

1.2%

0.4%

4.6%

6.8%

5.1%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

2.6%

3.9%

2.9%

1.4%

0.5%

0.2%

1.2%

1.8%

1.3%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%