EredivisiePartial

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam

Sunday 8 November at 00:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
ADO Den Haag win	36.9%	38.4%	46.7%
Draw	22.7%	26.0%	23.2%
Sparta Rotterdam win	40.4%	35.6%	30.1%
ADO Den Haag or draw	59.6%	—	69.9%
ADO Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam	77.3%	—	76.8%
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam	63.1%	—	53.3%
Over 1.5 goals	85.0%	—	84.2%
Under 1.5 goals	15.0%	—	15.8%
Over 2.5 goals	65.5%	60.4%	65.1%
Under 2.5 goals	34.5%	39.6%	34.9%
Over 3.5 goals	43.6%	—	43.6%
Under 3.5 goals	56.4%	—	56.4%
Both teams to score	66.4%	—	63.6%
Not both teams to score	33.6%	—	36.4%
ADO Den Haag to score	80.7%	—	79.8%
Sparta Rotterdam to score	82.3%	—	66.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:22 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.4%	5.9%	5.1%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%
1	5.6%	9.7%	8.4%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
2	4.6%	8.0%	6.9%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
3	2.5%	4.4%	3.8%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
5	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–19.7%
2.1–28.4%
3.2–18.0%
4.2–26.9%
5.0–15.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.73. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

ADO Den HaagLLWDDL

Scored 7 · Conceded 10

Sun 1 Novat PEC Zwolle0–1xG 0.62–1.96
Sat 24 Octat SC Heerenveen2–3xG 2.39–2.71
Sat 17 Octat PSV Eindhoven2–1xG 1.22–1.41
Sun 11 Octat Telstar2–2xG 0.76–3.27
Sat 19 Septat SC Cambuur1–1xG 1.82–0.67
Sat 12 Septat FC Twente0–2xG 0.61–3.25

Sparta RotterdamWLWWDL

Scored 13 · Conceded 15

Sun 1 Novat FC Groningen3–2xG 1.01–2.28
Sun 25 Octat AFC Ajax1–2xG 1.13–1.51
Sun 18 Octat Willem II Tilburg3–2xG 3.38–1.17
Sat 17 Octat Willem II3–2xG 3.17–1.76
Sat 10 Octat Go Ahead Eagles3–3xG 2.20–1.45
Sat 19 Septat SC Heerenveen0–4xG 0.78–1.86

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

ADO Den Haag: +0.47 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 7.42 xG, conceded 10 on 13.26 xG against.

Sparta Rotterdam: −0.61 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 11.67 xG, conceded 15 on 10.02 xG against.

Note: ADO Den Haag are overperforming against xG while Sparta Rotterdam are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

ADO Den Haag win

36.9%

38.4%

46.7%

Draw

22.7%

26.0%

23.2%

Sparta Rotterdam win

40.4%

35.6%

30.1%

ADO Den Haag or draw

59.6%

—

69.9%

ADO Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam

77.3%

—

76.8%

Draw or Sparta Rotterdam

63.1%

—

53.3%

Over 1.5 goals

85.0%

—

84.2%

Under 1.5 goals

15.0%

—

15.8%

Over 2.5 goals

65.5%

60.4%

65.1%

Under 2.5 goals

34.5%

39.6%

34.9%

Over 3.5 goals

43.6%

—

43.6%

Under 3.5 goals

56.4%

—

56.4%

Both teams to score

66.4%

—

63.6%

Not both teams to score

33.6%

—

36.4%

ADO Den Haag to score

80.7%

—

79.8%

Sparta Rotterdam to score

82.3%

—

66.9%

3.4%

5.9%

5.1%

3.0%

1.3%

0.4%

5.6%

9.7%

8.4%

4.9%

2.1%

0.7%

4.6%

8.0%

6.9%

4.0%

1.7%

0.6%

2.5%

4.4%

3.8%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

1.0%

1.8%

1.6%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.3%

0.6%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%