EredivisiePartial

FC Twente vs Ajax

Sunday 8 November at 20:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
FC Twente win	60.7%	41.8%	35.4%
Draw	19.3%	24.1%	21.0%
Ajax win	19.9%	34.1%	43.6%
FC Twente or draw	80.1%	—	56.4%
FC Twente or Ajax	80.7%	—	79.0%
Draw or Ajax	39.3%	—	64.6%
Over 1.5 goals	87.2%	—	86.5%
Under 1.5 goals	12.8%	—	13.5%
Over 2.5 goals	69.3%	65.5%	68.7%
Under 2.5 goals	30.7%	34.5%	31.3%
Over 3.5 goals	48.0%	—	46.1%
Under 3.5 goals	52.0%	—	53.9%
Both teams to score	64.7%	—	66.5%
Not both teams to score	35.3%	—	33.5%
FC Twente to score	90.1%	—	72.3%
Ajax to score	71.8%	—	77.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.8%	3.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
1	6.5%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
2	7.5%	9.5%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.7%	7.3%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	3.3%	4.2%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
5	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1.2–19.5%
2.1–18.2%
3.2–07.5%
4.3–17.3%
5.1–06.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.31 – 1.27. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

FC TwenteWWWWLW

Scored 20 · Conceded 4

Thu 5 Novat Pafos FC3–1xG 4.52–0.53
Sun 1 Novat Excelsior9–0xG 5.55–0.00
Sun 25 Octat AZ Alkmaar2–0xG 2.39–1.06
Thu 22 Octat Lincoln Red Imps4–1xG 4.37–0.13
Sun 18 Octat FC Utrecht1–2xG 1.88–1.33
Thu 15 Octat Thun1–0xG 2.29–0.23

AjaxWWWWWL

Scored 17 · Conceded 6

Thu 5 Novat FC Midtjylland6–1xG 3.34–1.46
Sat 31 Octat AZ Alkmaar1–0xG 0.82–1.77
Sun 25 Octat Sparta Rotterdam2–1xG 1.51–1.13
Thu 22 Octat Atalanta BC2–0xG 1.73–1.52
Sun 18 Octat FC Groningen5–2xG 3.21–2.25
Thu 15 Octat Hajduk Split1–2xG 1.75–1.52

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

FC Twente: −0.29 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 20 on 21.01 xG, conceded 4 on 3.28 xG against.

Ajax: +1.38 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 17 on 12.36 xG, conceded 6 on 9.65 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

FC Twente win

60.7%

41.8%

35.4%

Draw

19.3%

24.1%

21.0%

Ajax win

19.9%

34.1%

43.6%

FC Twente or draw

80.1%

—

56.4%

FC Twente or Ajax

80.7%

—

79.0%

Draw or Ajax

39.3%

—

64.6%

Over 1.5 goals

87.2%

—

86.5%

Under 1.5 goals

12.8%

—

13.5%

Over 2.5 goals

69.3%

65.5%

68.7%

Under 2.5 goals

30.7%

34.5%

31.3%

Over 3.5 goals

48.0%

—

46.1%

Under 3.5 goals

52.0%

—

53.9%

Both teams to score

64.7%

—

66.5%

Not both teams to score

35.3%

—

33.5%

FC Twente to score

90.1%

—

72.3%

Ajax to score

71.8%

—

77.6%

2.8%

3.5%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

6.5%

8.2%

5.2%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

7.5%

9.5%

6.0%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

5.7%

7.3%

4.6%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

3.3%

4.2%

2.7%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

1.5%

1.9%

1.2%

0.5%

0.2%

0.0%