EredivisiePartial

FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen

Monday 9 November at 02:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
FC Utrecht win	37.6%	39.0%	45.0%
Draw	22.3%	24.3%	24.1%
NEC Nijmegen win	40.1%	36.6%	30.9%
FC Utrecht or draw	59.9%	—	69.2%
FC Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen	77.7%	—	75.9%
Draw or NEC Nijmegen	62.4%	—	55.0%
Over 1.5 goals	86.3%	—	80.2%
Under 1.5 goals	13.7%	—	19.8%
Over 2.5 goals	67.7%	63.3%	58.3%
Under 2.5 goals	32.3%	36.7%	41.7%
Over 3.5 goals	46.1%	—	35.8%
Under 3.5 goals	53.9%	—	64.2%
Both teams to score	68.1%	—	60.1%
Not both teams to score	31.9%	—	39.9%
FC Utrecht to score	82.0%	—	77.4%
NEC Nijmegen to score	83.1%	—	67.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:35 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.0%	5.4%	4.8%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%
1	5.2%	9.3%	8.2%	4.9%	2.2%	0.8%
2	4.5%	8.0%	7.1%	4.2%	1.9%	0.7%
3	2.6%	4.5%	4.0%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.1%	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–19.3%
2.1–28.2%
3.2–18.0%
4.2–27.1%
5.0–15.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.78. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

FC UtrechtLWDDWW

Scored 10 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Telstar2–4xG 1.18–2.09
Thu 29 Octat Kozakken Boys1–0
Sat 24 Octat PEC Zwolle1–1xG 1.66–0.90
Sat 24 Octat Zwolle1–1xG 1.63–0.91
Sun 18 Octat FC Twente2–1xG 1.33–1.88
Sun 11 Octat Willem II Tilburg3–1xG 1.30–0.61

NEC NijmegenWLDWDD

Scored 12 · Conceded 9

Thu 5 Novat Omonia Nicosia3–1xG 2.06–0.52
Sat 31 Octat SC Heerenveen0–1xG 1.75–1.57
Sun 25 Octat FC Groningen2–2xG 2.44–0.77
Thu 22 Octat Dinamo Zagreb4–2xG 1.94–3.18
Sun 18 Octat Fortuna Sittard2–2xG 3.20–0.44
Thu 15 Octat Levski Sofia1–1xG 1.64–1.09

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

FC Utrecht: +0.06 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 9 on 7.11 xG, conceded 8 on 6.39 xG against.

NEC Nijmegen: −0.41 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 13.02 xG, conceded 9 on 7.56 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

FC Utrecht win

37.6%

39.0%

45.0%

Draw

22.3%

24.3%

24.1%

NEC Nijmegen win

40.1%

36.6%

30.9%

FC Utrecht or draw

59.9%

—

69.2%

FC Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen

77.7%

—

75.9%

Draw or NEC Nijmegen

62.4%

—

55.0%

Over 1.5 goals

86.3%

—

80.2%

Under 1.5 goals

13.7%

—

19.8%

Over 2.5 goals

67.7%

63.3%

58.3%

Under 2.5 goals

32.3%

36.7%

41.7%

Over 3.5 goals

46.1%

—

35.8%

Under 3.5 goals

53.9%

—

64.2%

Both teams to score

68.1%

—

60.1%

Not both teams to score

31.9%

—

39.9%

FC Utrecht to score

82.0%

—

77.4%

NEC Nijmegen to score

83.1%

—

67.4%

3.0%

5.4%

4.8%

2.8%

1.3%

0.4%

5.2%

9.3%

8.2%

4.9%

2.2%

0.8%

4.5%

8.0%

7.1%

4.2%

1.9%

0.7%

2.6%

4.5%

4.0%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

1.1%

2.0%

1.7%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.4%

0.7%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%