EredivisiePartial

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen

Sunday 8 November at 22:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
AZ Alkmaar win	56.0%	62.8%	55.5%
Draw	21.9%	20.3%	22.3%
FC Groningen win	22.1%	16.9%	22.2%
AZ Alkmaar or draw	77.9%	—	77.8%
AZ Alkmaar or FC Groningen	78.1%	—	77.7%
Draw or FC Groningen	44.0%	—	44.5%
Over 1.5 goals	81.3%	—	81.7%
Under 1.5 goals	18.7%	—	18.3%
Over 2.5 goals	59.6%	68.1%	60.7%
Under 2.5 goals	40.4%	31.9%	39.3%
Over 3.5 goals	37.2%	—	38.9%
Under 3.5 goals	62.8%	—	61.1%
Both teams to score	58.4%	—	59.5%
Not both teams to score	41.6%	—	40.5%
AZ Alkmaar to score	85.7%	—	83.5%
FC Groningen to score	68.1%	—	59.7%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.6%	5.2%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	8.9%	10.1%	5.8%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	8.6%	9.9%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
3	5.6%	6.4%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.7%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
5	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.1%
2.2–19.9%
3.1–08.9%
4.2–08.6%
5.3–16.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.94 – 1.14. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AZ AlkmaarLLLWDW

Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Thu 5 Novat Juventus1–2xG 1.88–0.69
Sat 31 Octat AFC Ajax0–1xG 1.77–0.82
Sun 25 Octat FC Twente0–2xG 1.06–2.39
Thu 22 Octat Ararat-Armenia4–0xG 1.55–0.46
Sun 18 Octat SC Cambuur2–2xG 1.37–1.70
Thu 15 Octat Hapoel Be'er Sheva2–1xG 2.23–0.60

FC GroningenLLDDLW

Scored 13 · Conceded 15

Sun 1 Novat Sparta Rotterdam2–3xG 2.28–1.01
Thu 29 Octat FC Emmen0–2
Sun 25 Octat NEC Nijmegen2–2xG 0.77–2.44
Sun 25 Octat Nijmegen2–2xG 1.33–1.49
Sun 18 Octat AFC Ajax2–5xG 2.25–3.21
Sun 11 Octat Excelsior5–1xG 2.57–2.08

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar: −0.36 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 9.86 xG, conceded 8 on 6.67 xG against.

FC Groningen: +0.21 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 13 on 9.19 xG, conceded 13 on 10.24 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

AZ Alkmaar win

56.0%

62.8%

55.5%

Draw

21.9%

20.3%

22.3%

FC Groningen win

22.1%

16.9%

22.2%

AZ Alkmaar or draw

77.9%

—

77.8%

AZ Alkmaar or FC Groningen

78.1%

—

77.7%

Draw or FC Groningen

44.0%

—

44.5%

Over 1.5 goals

81.3%

—

81.7%

Under 1.5 goals

18.7%

—

18.3%

Over 2.5 goals

59.6%

68.1%

60.7%

Under 2.5 goals

40.4%

31.9%

39.3%

Over 3.5 goals

37.2%

—

38.9%

Under 3.5 goals

62.8%

—

61.1%

Both teams to score

58.4%

—

59.5%

Not both teams to score

41.6%

—

40.5%

AZ Alkmaar to score

85.7%

—

83.5%

FC Groningen to score

68.1%

—

59.7%

4.6%

5.2%

3.0%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

8.9%

10.1%

5.8%

2.2%

0.6%

0.1%

8.6%

9.9%

5.6%

2.1%

0.6%

0.1%

5.6%

6.4%

3.6%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

2.7%

3.1%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

1.1%

1.2%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%