First LeaguePartial

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Sunday 8 November at 22:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Levski Sofia win	49.7%	43.4%	47.4%
Draw	26.5%	29.7%	26.3%
CSKA Sofia win	23.8%	26.9%	26.4%
Levski Sofia or draw	76.2%	—	73.7%
Levski Sofia or CSKA Sofia	73.5%	—	73.8%
Draw or CSKA Sofia	50.3%	—	52.7%
Over 1.5 goals	68.8%	—	75.8%
Under 1.5 goals	31.2%	—	24.2%
Over 2.5 goals	42.6%	43.9%	51.9%
Under 2.5 goals	57.4%	56.1%	48.1%
Over 3.5 goals	21.8%	—	29.7%
Under 3.5 goals	78.2%	—	70.3%
Both teams to score	46.3%	—	54.8%
Not both teams to score	53.7%	—	45.2%
Levski Sofia to score	76.8%	—	78.3%
CSKA Sofia to score	60.3%	—	62.8%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:30 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.2%	8.5%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.5%	12.4%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
2	9.8%	9.1%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
3	4.8%	4.4%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	1.8%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.5%
2.1–112.4%
3.2–09.8%
4.0–09.2%
5.2–19.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.46 – 0.92. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Levski SofiaWWDWDW

Scored 8 · Conceded 3

Thu 5 Novat Jagiellonia Białystok1–0xG 1.31–1.02
Sat 31 Octat Dunav 20101–0
Tue 27 Octat Arda1–1
Thu 22 Octat Viktoria Plzen2–1xG 0.96–1.22
Thu 15 Octat NEC Nijmegen1–1xG 1.09–1.64
Sun 11 Octat Cherno More2–0

CSKA SofiaLDWDLW

Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Thu 5 Novat Panathinaikos1–2xG 1.05–2.36
Sat 31 Octat Slavia Sofia0–0
Mon 26 Octat Ludogorets2–0
Thu 22 Octat Nordsjælland2–2xG 1.78–1.24
Thu 15 Octat AS Monaco1–2xG 1.17–1.27
Sun 11 Octat CSKA 1948 Sofia3–2

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Levski Sofia: +0.84 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 3 games: scored 4 on 3.36 xG, conceded 2 on 3.88 xG against.

CSKA Sofia: −0.38 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 3 games: scored 4 on 4.00 xG, conceded 6 on 4.87 xG against.

Note: Levski Sofia are overperforming against xG while CSKA Sofia are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Levski Sofia win

49.7%

43.4%

47.4%

Draw

26.5%

29.7%

26.3%

CSKA Sofia win

23.8%

26.9%

26.4%

Levski Sofia or draw

76.2%

—

73.7%

Levski Sofia or CSKA Sofia

73.5%

—

73.8%

Draw or CSKA Sofia

50.3%

—

52.7%

Over 1.5 goals

68.8%

—

75.8%

Under 1.5 goals

31.2%

—

24.2%

Over 2.5 goals

42.6%

43.9%

51.9%

Under 2.5 goals

57.4%

56.1%

48.1%

Over 3.5 goals

21.8%

—

29.7%

Under 3.5 goals

78.2%

—

70.3%

Both teams to score

46.3%

—

54.8%

Not both teams to score

53.7%

—

45.2%

Levski Sofia to score

76.8%

—

78.3%

CSKA Sofia to score

60.3%

—

62.8%

9.2%

8.5%

3.9%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

13.5%

12.4%

5.7%

1.8%

0.4%

0.1%

9.8%

9.1%

4.2%

1.3%

0.3%

0.1%

4.8%

4.4%

2.0%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

1.8%

1.6%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%