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1. HNLCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek win | 30.3% | 23.6% | 28.7% |
| Draw | 25.3% | 25.3% | 24.8% |
| Hajduk Split win | 44.4% | 51.1% | 46.5% |
| Osijek or draw | 55.6% | — | 53.5% |
| Osijek or Hajduk Split | 74.7% | — | 75.2% |
| Draw or Hajduk Split | 69.7% | — | 71.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% | — | 76.8% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.5% | — | 23.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% | 54.8% | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.8% | 45.2% | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.1% | — | 31.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.9% | — | 68.6% |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% | — | 55.8% |
| Not both teams to score | 45.3% | — | 44.2% |
| Osijek to score | 70.1% | — | 65.2% |
| Hajduk Split to score | 78.0% | — | 77.5% |
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.52. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 9 · Conceded 8
Scored 11 · Conceded 4
Osijek: not enough xG data yet.
Hajduk Split: +0.36 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 3 games: scored 3 on 4.23 xG, conceded 2 on 4.32 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.