SuperligaPartial

AGF vs Horsens

Sunday 8 November at 20:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
AGF win	46.7%	60.9%	49.7%
Draw	22.0%	21.1%	24.1%
Horsens win	31.4%	18.0%	26.3%
AGF or draw	68.6%	—	73.8%
AGF or Horsens	78.0%	—	75.9%
Draw or Horsens	53.3%	—	50.4%
Over 1.5 goals	86.2%	—	78.7%
Under 1.5 goals	13.8%	—	21.3%
Over 2.5 goals	67.6%	59.5%	56.4%
Under 2.5 goals	32.4%	40.5%	43.6%
Over 3.5 goals	46.0%	—	33.6%
Under 3.5 goals	54.0%	—	66.4%
Both teams to score	67.4%	—	57.6%
Not both teams to score	32.6%	—	42.5%
AGF to score	85.5%	—	79.8%
Horsens to score	78.9%	—	63.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 7 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:28 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.1%	4.8%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
1	5.9%	9.2%	7.2%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%
2	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
3	3.7%	5.7%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.8%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
5	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–19.2%
2.2–18.9%
3.1–27.2%
4.2–26.9%
5.1–05.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.93 – 1.55. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AGFDLWDDL

Scored 4 · Conceded 6

Thu 5 Novat Sporting Braga0–0xG 1.93–2.73
Sun 1 Novat Brøndby IF0–2xG 1.18–2.32
Sun 25 Octat Viborg FF2–1xG 1.91–0.89
Thu 22 Octat Egnatia Rrogozhine1–1xG 0.72–0.67
Sun 18 Octat FC København1–1xG 0.93–2.19
Thu 15 Octat Gent0–1xG 0.55–2.14

HorsensLWDDWD

Scored 12 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Viborg FF0–1xG 0.77–3.00
Sun 25 Octat Sønderjyske Fodbold5–1xG 3.26–1.40
Fri 16 Octat Randers FC0–0xG 0.76–1.94
Sun 11 Octat Silkeborg IF3–3xG 2.34–2.23
Fri 2 Octat Vejle Boldklub2–1
Sun 20 Septat AGF2–2xG 1.42–1.17

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

AGF: +0.28 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 4 on 7.24 xG, conceded 6 on 10.94 xG against.

Horsens: +0.84 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 10 on 8.55 xG, conceded 7 on 9.74 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

AGF win

46.7%

60.9%

49.7%

Draw

22.0%

21.1%

24.1%

Horsens win

31.4%

18.0%

26.3%

AGF or draw

68.6%

—

73.8%

AGF or Horsens

78.0%

—

75.9%

Draw or Horsens

53.3%

—

50.4%

Over 1.5 goals

86.2%

—

78.7%

Under 1.5 goals

13.8%

—

21.3%

Over 2.5 goals

67.6%

59.5%

56.4%

Under 2.5 goals

32.4%

40.5%

43.6%

Over 3.5 goals

46.0%

—

33.6%

Under 3.5 goals

54.0%

—

66.4%

Both teams to score

67.4%

—

57.6%

Not both teams to score

32.6%

—

42.5%

AGF to score

85.5%

—

79.8%

Horsens to score

78.9%

—

63.4%

3.1%

4.8%

3.7%

1.9%

0.7%

0.2%

5.9%

9.2%

7.2%

3.7%

1.4%

0.4%

5.7%

8.9%

6.9%

3.6%

1.4%

0.4%

3.7%

5.7%

4.4%

2.3%

0.9%

0.3%

1.8%

2.8%

2.1%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.7%

1.1%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%