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Serie ACalibrated
Monday 9 November at 02:45 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina win | 28.8% | 26.5% | 26.4% |
| Draw | 25.4% | 26.5% | 26.9% |
| Juventus win | 45.8% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| Fiorentina or draw | 54.2% | — | 53.3% |
| Fiorentina or Juventus | 74.6% | — | 73.1% |
| Draw or Juventus | 71.2% | — | 73.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% | — | 71.0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.2% | — | 29.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% | 53.5% | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.8% | 46.5% | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.2% | — | 25.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.8% | — | 74.1% |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | — | 50.6% |
| Not both teams to score | 46.4% | — | 49.4% |
| Fiorentina to score | 68.5% | — | 61.0% |
| Juventus to score | 78.3% | — | 75.0% |
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:41 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.53. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 18 · Conceded 11
Scored 8 · Conceded 8
Fiorentina: −0.22 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 5 games: scored 9 on 7.37 xG, conceded 11 on 8.25 xG against.
Juventus: +0.03 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 8 on 7.43 xG, conceded 8 on 7.62 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.