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Primera DivisionCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica win | 51.1% | 64.4% | 55.8% |
| Draw | 22.8% | 20.2% | 22.4% |
| Deportes Limache win | 26.1% | 15.4% | 21.7% |
| Universidad Católica or draw | 73.9% | — | 78.3% |
| Universidad Católica or Deportes Limache | 77.2% | — | 77.5% |
| Draw or Deportes Limache | 48.9% | — | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% | — | 80.8% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18.4% | — | 19.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.0% | 62.0% | 60.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 38.0% | 39.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% | — | 36.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.4% | — | 63.1% |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% | — | 59.4% |
| Not both teams to score | 39.7% | — | 40.6% |
| Universidad Católica to score | 84.2% | — | 84.0% |
| Deportes Limache to score | 71.6% | — | 59.3% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.85 – 1.26. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 10 · Conceded 8
Scored 10 · Conceded 3
Universidad Católica: not enough xG data yet.
Deportes Limache: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.