Loading match analysis…
Loading match analysis…
Primera DivisionCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 03:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unión La Calera win | 38.8% | 49.8% | 40.0% |
| Draw | 29.1% | 25.9% | 25.6% |
| Huachipato win | 32.1% | 24.3% | 34.4% |
| Unión La Calera or draw | 67.9% | — | 65.6% |
| Unión La Calera or Huachipato | 70.9% | — | 74.4% |
| Draw or Huachipato | 61.2% | — | 60.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.4% | — | 75.9% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35.6% | — | 24.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.6% | 51.2% | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.4% | 48.8% | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.9% | — | 29.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82.1% | — | 70.3% |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% | — | 56.5% |
| Not both teams to score | 55.8% | — | 43.5% |
| Unión La Calera to score | 68.7% | — | 73.6% |
| Huachipato to score | 64.3% | — | 69.7% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 10 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:41 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.03. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 6 · Conceded 6
Scored 6 · Conceded 4
Unión La Calera: not enough xG data yet.
Huachipato: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.