Loading match analysis…
Loading match analysis…
Primera DivisionCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 03:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton win | 47.1% | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| Draw | 26.3% | 25.4% | 24.2% |
| Concepcion win | 26.7% | 21.9% | 28.6% |
| Everton or draw | 73.3% | — | 71.3% |
| Everton or Concepcion | 73.7% | — | 75.8% |
| Draw or Concepcion | 52.9% | — | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.2% | — | 76.2% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28.8% | — | 23.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.6% | 51.3% | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.4% | 48.6% | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.2% | — | 30.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.8% | — | 69.9% |
| Both teams to score | 49.5% | — | 56.1% |
| Not both teams to score | 50.5% | — | 43.9% |
| Everton to score | 76.9% | — | 77.3% |
| Concepcion to score | 64.4% | — | 64.7% |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:01 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:23 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.03. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 10 · Conceded 10
Scored 5 · Conceded 6
Everton: +1.08 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 4 games: scored 7 on 6.39 xG, conceded 4 on 7.71 xG against.
Concepcion: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.