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Primera DivisionCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 01:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ñublense win | 21.3% | 18.9% | 33.6% |
| Draw | 21.1% | 25.8% | 25.3% |
| Colo-Colo win | 57.6% | 55.3% | 41.0% |
| Ñublense or draw | 42.4% | — | 59.0% |
| Ñublense or Colo-Colo | 78.9% | — | 74.7% |
| Draw or Colo-Colo | 78.7% | — | 66.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% | — | 77.6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16.7% | — | 22.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% | 52.8% | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.3% | 47.2% | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.5% | — | 31.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59.5% | — | 69.0% |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% | — | 57.6% |
| Not both teams to score | 39.7% | — | 42.4% |
| Ñublense to score | 69.2% | — | 69.5% |
| Colo-Colo to score | 87.2% | — | 74.4% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.18 – 2.06. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 4 · Conceded 15
Scored 15 · Conceded 9
Ñublense: not enough xG data yet.
Colo-Colo: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.