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Primera DivisionCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 06:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Univ. Concepción win | 27.8% | 31.3% | 38.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | 27.2% | 25.3% |
| O'Higgins win | 44.7% | 41.6% | 36.6% |
| Univ. Concepción or draw | 55.3% | — | 63.3% |
| Univ. Concepción or O'Higgins | 72.5% | — | 74.7% |
| Draw or O'Higgins | 72.2% | — | 62.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.9% | — | 74.8% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32.1% | — | 25.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 52.2% | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 47.8% | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% | — | 28.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.1% | — | 71.8% |
| Both teams to score | 46.7% | — | 54.9% |
| Not both teams to score | 53.3% | — | 45.0% |
| Univ. Concepción to score | 63.1% | — | 70.9% |
| O'Higgins to score | 73.9% | — | 70.5% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 4 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:26 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:42 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.00 – 1.34. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 3 · Conceded 13
Scored 6 · Conceded 8
Univ. Concepción: not enough xG data yet.
O'Higgins: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.