Liga Profesional de FútbolPartial

Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys

Sunday 8 November at 08:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Instituto win	45.1%	49.6%	51.8%
Draw	27.8%	30.9%	26.8%
Newell's Old Boys win	27.2%	19.5%	21.4%
Instituto or draw	72.8%	—	78.6%
Instituto or Newell's Old Boys	72.2%	—	73.2%
Draw or Newell's Old Boys	54.9%	—	48.2%
Over 1.5 goals	66.9%	—	66.4%
Under 1.5 goals	33.1%	—	33.6%
Over 2.5 goals	40.4%	37.6%	40.7%
Under 2.5 goals	59.6%	62.4%	59.3%
Over 3.5 goals	20.0%	—	20.1%
Under 3.5 goals	80.0%	—	80.0%
Both teams to score	45.6%	—	43.9%
Not both teams to score	54.4%	—	56.1%
Instituto to score	73.6%	—	76.6%
Newell's Old Boys to score	62.0%	—	53.6%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.0%	9.7%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.4%	12.9%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
2	8.9%	8.6%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
3	4.0%	3.8%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	1.3%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.4%
2.1–112.9%
3.0–010.0%
4.0–19.7%
5.2–08.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.33 – 0.97. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

InstitutoDWWDWW

Scored 14 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat Estudiantes3–3xG 0.83–1.87
Tue 27 Octat Deportivo Riestra1–0xG 1.95–0.17
Fri 16 Octat Defensa y Justicia1–0xG 0.44–1.65
Fri 9 Octat Boca Juniors2–2xG 0.65–1.73
Fri 2 Octat Independiente4–1xG 1.91–0.55
Sun 20 Septat Talleres Cordoba3–1xG 1.29–0.50

Newell's Old BoysDDWLDW

Scored 4 · Conceded 3

Sun 1 Novat Union Santa Fe1–1xG 0.41–1.10
Sat 24 Octat San Lorenzo0–0xG 0.94–0.74
Mon 19 Octat Central Cordoba SdE2–1xG 2.20–0.28
Mon 12 Octat Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0–1xG 1.81–0.45
Sat 3 Octat Lanus0–0xG 0.79–0.83
Sun 20 Septat Platense1–0xG 0.98–0.31

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Instituto: +1.06 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 7.07 xG, conceded 7 on 6.45 xG against.

Newell's Old Boys: −0.41 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 4 on 7.13 xG, conceded 3 on 3.70 xG against.

Note: Instituto are overperforming against xG while Newell's Old Boys are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Instituto win

45.1%

49.6%

51.8%

Draw

27.8%

30.9%

26.8%

Newell's Old Boys win

27.2%

19.5%

21.4%

Instituto or draw

72.8%

—

78.6%

Instituto or Newell's Old Boys

72.2%

—

73.2%

Draw or Newell's Old Boys

54.9%

—

48.2%

Over 1.5 goals

66.9%

—

66.4%

Under 1.5 goals

33.1%

—

33.6%

Over 2.5 goals

40.4%

37.6%

40.7%

Under 2.5 goals

59.6%

62.4%

59.3%

Over 3.5 goals

20.0%

—

20.1%

Under 3.5 goals

80.0%

—

80.0%

Both teams to score

45.6%

—

43.9%

Not both teams to score

54.4%

—

56.1%

Instituto to score

73.6%

—

76.6%

Newell's Old Boys to score

62.0%

—

53.6%

10.0%

9.7%

4.7%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

13.4%

12.9%

6.3%

2.0%

0.5%

0.1%

8.9%

8.6%

4.2%

1.3%

0.3%

0.1%

4.0%

3.8%

1.8%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%