AllsvenskanCalibrated

AIK vs Häcken

Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
AIK win	32.7%	22.7%	29.0%
Draw	21.7%	22.6%	25.9%
Häcken win	45.6%	54.8%	45.1%
AIK or draw	54.4%	—	54.9%
AIK or Häcken	78.3%	—	74.1%
Draw or Häcken	67.3%	—	71.0%
Over 1.5 goals	87.2%	—	77.3%
Under 1.5 goals	12.8%	—	22.7%
Over 2.5 goals	69.3%	62.8%	55.3%
Under 2.5 goals	30.7%	37.2%	44.7%
Over 3.5 goals	48.0%	—	34.4%
Under 3.5 goals	52.0%	—	65.6%
Both teams to score	68.9%	—	57.5%
Not both teams to score	31.1%	—	42.5%
AIK to score	80.4%	—	64.7%
Häcken to score	85.7%	—	76.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 8 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.8%	5.4%	5.3%	3.4%	1.7%	0.7%
1	4.6%	8.9%	8.6%	5.6%	2.7%	1.1%
2	3.7%	7.2%	7.0%	4.6%	2.2%	0.9%
3	2.0%	3.9%	3.8%	2.5%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.6%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–18.9%
2.1–28.6%
3.2–17.2%
4.2–27.0%
5.1–35.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.95. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AIKLDWDLL

Scored 13 · Conceded 15

Mon 2 Novat GAIS1–2xG 0.79–0.96
Tue 27 Octat Elfsborg2–2xG 0.97–2.02
Sat 24 Octat Sirius2–1xG 1.94–2.52
Sat 17 Octat IFK Goteborg2–2xG 2.01–1.24
Sat 10 Octat Brommapojkarna5–6xG 3.44–3.66
Sun 20 Septat Halmstad1–2xG 2.01–1.70

HäckenWDWWWW

Scored 10 · Conceded 0

Sun 1 Novat IFK Goteborg1–0xG 1.63–0.96
Wed 28 Octat Brommapojkarna0–0xG 1.35–1.03
Sat 24 Octat Degerfors4–0xG 3.14–1.00
Sun 18 Octat Malmo FF1–0xG 1.57–1.92
Sun 11 Octat Orgryte3–0xG 2.79–0.14
Fri 2 Octat Elfsborg1–0

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

AIK: −0.18 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 11.17 xG, conceded 15 on 12.10 xG against.

Häcken: +0.71 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 9 on 10.48 xG, conceded 0 on 5.05 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

AIK win

32.7%

22.7%

29.0%

Draw

21.7%

22.6%

25.9%

Häcken win

45.6%

54.8%

45.1%

AIK or draw

54.4%

—

54.9%

AIK or Häcken

78.3%

—

74.1%

Draw or Häcken

67.3%

—

71.0%

Over 1.5 goals

87.2%

—

77.3%

Under 1.5 goals

12.8%

—

22.7%

Over 2.5 goals

69.3%

62.8%

55.3%

Under 2.5 goals

30.7%

37.2%

44.7%

Over 3.5 goals

48.0%

—

34.4%

Under 3.5 goals

52.0%

—

65.6%

Both teams to score

68.9%

—

57.5%

Not both teams to score

31.1%

—

42.5%

AIK to score

80.4%

—

64.7%

Häcken to score

85.7%

—

76.2%

2.8%

5.4%

5.3%

3.4%

1.7%

0.7%

4.6%

8.9%

8.6%

5.6%

2.7%

1.1%

3.7%

7.2%

7.0%

4.6%

2.2%

0.9%

2.0%

3.9%

3.8%

2.5%

1.2%

0.5%

0.8%

1.6%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%