AllsvenskanCalibrated

IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF

Sunday 8 November at 20:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
IFK Göteborg win	33.2%	39.9%	35.9%
Draw	25.6%	26.4%	25.3%
Malmö FF win	41.2%	33.7%	38.7%
IFK Göteborg or draw	58.8%	—	61.2%
IFK Göteborg or Malmö FF	74.4%	—	74.6%
Draw or Malmö FF	66.8%	—	64.1%
Over 1.5 goals	75.5%	—	80.3%
Under 1.5 goals	24.5%	—	19.7%
Over 2.5 goals	51.2%	57.3%	58.7%
Under 2.5 goals	48.8%	42.7%	41.3%
Over 3.5 goals	29.1%	—	35.7%
Under 3.5 goals	70.9%	—	64.3%
Both teams to score	55.1%	—	60.0%
Not both teams to score	44.9%	—	40.0%
IFK Göteborg to score	72.0%	—	72.4%
Malmö FF to score	76.5%	—	74.3%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:28 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.6%	9.5%	6.9%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	8.4%	12.1%	8.8%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
2	5.3%	7.7%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
3	2.3%	3.3%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–112.1%
2.0–19.5%
3.1–28.8%
4.1–08.4%
5.2–17.7%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.45. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

IFK GöteborgLDDDWL

Scored 7 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Hacken0–1xG 0.96–1.63
Wed 28 Octat Djurgarden1–1xG 0.65–0.76
Sun 25 Octat GAIS1–1xG 1.63–2.04
Sat 17 Octat AIK2–2xG 1.24–2.01
Fri 9 Octat Vasteras SK1–0xG 0.92–0.81
Sat 3 Octat Arka Gdynia2–3

Malmö FFLWDLWW

Scored 8 · Conceded 3

Sun 1 Novat Hammarby1–2xG 0.42–1.64
Wed 28 Octat Halmstad3–0xG 1.30–1.31
Fri 23 Octat Elfsborg0–0xG 0.67–1.00
Sun 18 Octat Hacken0–1xG 1.92–1.57
Mon 12 Octat Kalmar1–0xG 1.41–1.79
Sat 3 Octat Nordsjælland3–0

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

IFK Göteborg: +0.37 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 5.41 xG, conceded 5 on 7.25 xG against.

Malmö FF: +0.72 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 5.72 xG, conceded 3 on 7.32 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

IFK Göteborg win

33.2%

39.9%

35.9%

Draw

25.6%

26.4%

25.3%

Malmö FF win

41.2%

33.7%

38.7%

IFK Göteborg or draw

58.8%

—

61.2%

IFK Göteborg or Malmö FF

74.4%

—

74.6%

Draw or Malmö FF

66.8%

—

64.1%

Over 1.5 goals

75.5%

—

80.3%

Under 1.5 goals

24.5%

—

19.7%

Over 2.5 goals

51.2%

57.3%

58.7%

Under 2.5 goals

48.8%

42.7%

41.3%

Over 3.5 goals

29.1%

—

35.7%

Under 3.5 goals

70.9%

—

64.3%

Both teams to score

55.1%

—

60.0%

Not both teams to score

44.9%

—

40.0%

IFK Göteborg to score

72.0%

—

72.4%

Malmö FF to score

76.5%

—

74.3%

6.6%

9.5%

6.9%

3.3%

1.2%

0.3%

8.4%

12.1%

8.8%

4.2%

1.5%

0.4%

5.3%

7.7%

5.6%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

2.3%

3.3%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.7%

1.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%