AllsvenskanCalibrated

Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby

Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Brommapojkarna win	33.9%	36.2%	30.9%
Draw	24.6%	26.9%	26.6%
Mjällby win	41.5%	37.0%	42.6%
Brommapojkarna or draw	58.5%	—	57.4%
Brommapojkarna or Mjällby	75.4%	—	73.4%
Draw or Mjällby	66.1%	—	69.1%
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	—	75.8%
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	—	24.3%
Over 2.5 goals	56.0%	54.4%	51.7%
Under 2.5 goals	44.0%	45.6%	48.3%
Over 3.5 goals	33.6%	—	29.6%
Under 3.5 goals	66.4%	—	70.3%
Both teams to score	58.9%	—	55.7%
Not both teams to score	41.1%	—	44.3%
Brommapojkarna to score	74.8%	—	66.8%
Mjällby to score	78.7%	—	74.9%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.4%	8.3%	6.4%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
1	7.4%	11.4%	8.9%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
2	5.1%	7.9%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
3	2.3%	3.6%	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.4%
2.1–28.9%
3.0–18.3%
4.2–17.9%
5.1–07.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.55. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

BrommapojkarnaLDWLWL

Scored 9 · Conceded 9

Sun 1 Novat Vasteras SK0–1xG 1.51–1.31
Wed 28 Octat Hacken0–0xG 1.03–1.35
Sat 24 Octat Kalmar3–0xG 1.24–1.57
Fri 16 Octat Djurgarden0–2xG 0.77–1.02
Sat 10 Octat AIK6–5xG 3.66–3.44
Sat 19 Septat IFK Goteborg0–1xG 0.97–1.92

MjällbyWDWLDL

Scored 5 · Conceded 5

Thu 5 Novat Borac Banja Luka2–0xG 1.65–1.17
Mon 2 Novat Kalmar0–0xG 0.97–0.47
Thu 29 Octat Orgryte2–1xG 1.78–0.75
Sun 25 Octat Hammarby0–2xG 0.33–1.57
Thu 22 Octat FC Iberia 19991–1xG 2.67–1.16
Sun 18 Octat Vasteras SK0–1xG 0.94–1.32

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Brommapojkarna: +0.24 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 9.17 xG, conceded 9 on 10.61 xG against.

Mjällby: −0.32 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 5 on 8.33 xG, conceded 5 on 6.42 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Brommapojkarna win

33.9%

36.2%

30.9%

Draw

24.6%

26.9%

26.6%

Mjällby win

41.5%

37.0%

42.6%

Brommapojkarna or draw

58.5%

—

57.4%

Brommapojkarna or Mjällby

75.4%

—

73.4%

Draw or Mjällby

66.1%

—

69.1%

Over 1.5 goals

79.0%

—

75.8%

Under 1.5 goals

21.0%

—

24.3%

Over 2.5 goals

56.0%

54.4%

51.7%

Under 2.5 goals

44.0%

45.6%

48.3%

Over 3.5 goals

33.6%

—

29.6%

Under 3.5 goals

66.4%

—

70.3%

Both teams to score

58.9%

—

55.7%

Not both teams to score

41.1%

—

44.3%

Brommapojkarna to score

74.8%

—

66.8%

Mjällby to score

78.7%

—

74.9%

5.4%

8.3%

6.4%

3.3%

1.3%

0.4%

7.4%

11.4%

8.9%

4.6%

1.8%

0.5%

5.1%

7.9%

6.1%

3.1%

1.2%

0.4%

2.3%

3.6%

2.8%

1.4%

0.6%

0.2%

0.8%

1.2%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%