AllsvenskanCalibrated

Degerfors vs GAIS

Saturday 7 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Degerfors win	19.3%	29.9%	24.1%
Draw	23.7%	26.3%	23.9%
GAIS win	57.0%	43.7%	52.0%
Degerfors or draw	43.0%	—	48.0%
Degerfors or GAIS	76.3%	—	76.1%
Draw or GAIS	80.7%	—	75.8%
Over 1.5 goals	73.5%	—	78.8%
Under 1.5 goals	26.5%	—	21.2%
Over 2.5 goals	48.5%	49.2%	56.0%
Under 2.5 goals	51.5%	50.8%	44.1%
Over 3.5 goals	26.7%	—	34.0%
Under 3.5 goals	73.3%	—	66.0%
Both teams to score	48.5%	—	56.3%
Not both teams to score	51.5%	—	43.7%
Degerfors to score	59.0%	—	60.8%
GAIS to score	82.1%	—	80.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:20 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.3%	12.6%	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
1	6.5%	11.2%	9.7%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
2	2.9%	5.0%	4.3%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
3	0.9%	1.5%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1.0–112.6%
2.1–111.2%
3.0–210.9%
4.1–29.7%
5.0–07.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.72. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

DegerforsLLLLDD

Scored 4 · Conceded 13

Sun 1 Novat Djurgarden1–2xG 0.26–3.60
Wed 28 Octat Vasteras SK0–3xG 1.48–1.86
Sat 24 Octat Hacken0–4xG 1.00–3.14
Mon 19 Octat Kalmar1–2xG 1.07–2.53
Sat 10 Octat Mjallby1–1xG 0.74–1.56
Sat 3 Octat Brage1–1

GAISWWDLLW

Scored 9 · Conceded 7

Mon 2 Novat AIK2–1xG 0.96–0.79
Thu 29 Octat Kalmar1–0xG 0.59–0.79
Sun 25 Octat IFK Goteborg1–1xG 2.04–1.63
Sun 18 Octat Orgryte2–4xG 1.81–2.66
Sat 10 Octat Sirius0–1xG 1.14–1.82
Sun 20 Septat Mjallby3–0xG 2.38–1.07

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Degerfors: −0.18 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 3 on 4.55 xG, conceded 12 on 12.67 xG against.

GAIS: +0.31 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 8.92 xG, conceded 7 on 8.77 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Degerfors win

19.3%

29.9%

24.1%

Draw

23.7%

26.3%

23.9%

GAIS win

57.0%

43.7%

52.0%

Degerfors or draw

43.0%

—

48.0%

Degerfors or GAIS

76.3%

—

76.1%

Draw or GAIS

80.7%

—

75.8%

Over 1.5 goals

73.5%

—

78.8%

Under 1.5 goals

26.5%

—

21.2%

Over 2.5 goals

48.5%

49.2%

56.0%

Under 2.5 goals

51.5%

50.8%

44.1%

Over 3.5 goals

26.7%

—

34.0%

Under 3.5 goals

73.3%

—

66.0%

Both teams to score

48.5%

—

56.3%

Not both teams to score

51.5%

—

43.7%

Degerfors to score

59.0%

—

60.8%

GAIS to score

82.1%

—

80.8%

7.3%

12.6%

10.9%

6.2%

2.7%

0.9%

6.5%

11.2%

9.7%

5.6%

2.4%

0.8%

2.9%

5.0%

4.3%

2.5%

1.1%

0.4%

0.9%

1.5%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%