EliteserienPartial

Fredrikstad vs Brann

Monday 9 November at 01:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Fredrikstad win	34.7%	36.1%	28.1%
Draw	21.9%	24.5%	23.8%
Brann win	43.4%	39.4%	48.1%
Fredrikstad or draw	56.6%	—	51.9%
Fredrikstad or Brann	78.1%	—	76.2%
Draw or Brann	65.3%	—	71.9%
Over 1.5 goals	87.1%	—	78.1%
Under 1.5 goals	12.9%	—	21.9%
Over 2.5 goals	69.1%	62.0%	56.7%
Under 2.5 goals	30.9%	38.0%	43.3%
Over 3.5 goals	47.7%	—	35.3%
Under 3.5 goals	52.3%	—	64.8%
Both teams to score	69.0%	—	56.4%
Not both teams to score	31.0%	—	43.6%
Fredrikstad to score	81.3%	—	63.9%
Brann to score	84.9%	—	77.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 7 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.8%	5.4%	5.1%	3.2%	1.5%	0.6%
1	4.7%	9.0%	8.5%	5.3%	2.5%	1.0%
2	4.0%	7.5%	7.1%	4.5%	2.1%	0.8%
3	2.2%	4.2%	4.0%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.8%	1.7%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–19.0%
2.1–28.5%
3.2–17.5%
4.2–27.1%
5.0–15.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.89. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

FredrikstadLLLDDD

Scored 6 · Conceded 14

Sat 31 Octat Rosenborg0–3xG 1.46–2.46
Sun 25 Octat Molde1–5xG 1.35–3.47
Sat 17 Octat Viking2–3xG 0.57–2.44
Sun 11 Octat Tromsø1–1xG 2.11–1.74
Sun 20 Septat Valerenga1–1xG 0.85–1.56
Sun 13 Septat Sarpsborg 081–1xG 1.77–0.27

BrannDWLWLW

Scored 13 · Conceded 11

Thu 5 Novat Sint-Truiden1–1xG 0.70–1.14
Sun 1 Novat Molde3–2xG 1.58–3.23
Sun 25 Octat Lillestrøm2–3xG 1.57–1.82
Thu 22 Octat Kauno Zalgiris4–1xG 3.21–2.05
Sun 18 Octat Valerenga1–3xG 3.18–3.01
Thu 15 Octat Lincoln Red Imps2–1xG 2.83–0.76

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Fredrikstad: −0.69 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 6 on 8.12 xG, conceded 14 on 11.95 xG against.

Brann: +0.16 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 13.07 xG, conceded 11 on 12.01 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Fredrikstad win

34.7%

36.1%

28.1%

Draw

21.9%

24.5%

23.8%

Brann win

43.4%

39.4%

48.1%

Fredrikstad or draw

56.6%

—

51.9%

Fredrikstad or Brann

78.1%

—

76.2%

Draw or Brann

65.3%

—

71.9%

Over 1.5 goals

87.1%

—

78.1%

Under 1.5 goals

12.9%

—

21.9%

Over 2.5 goals

69.1%

62.0%

56.7%

Under 2.5 goals

30.9%

38.0%

43.3%

Over 3.5 goals

47.7%

—

35.3%

Under 3.5 goals

52.3%

—

64.8%

Both teams to score

69.0%

—

56.4%

Not both teams to score

31.0%

—

43.6%

Fredrikstad to score

81.3%

—

63.9%

Brann to score

84.9%

—

77.8%

2.8%

5.4%

5.1%

3.2%

1.5%

0.6%

4.7%

9.0%

8.5%

5.3%

2.5%

1.0%

4.0%

7.5%

7.1%

4.5%

2.1%

0.8%

2.2%

4.2%

4.0%

2.5%

1.2%

0.4%

0.9%

1.8%

1.7%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.3%

0.6%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%