EliteserienPartial

HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08

Sunday 8 November at 23:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
HamKam win	34.7%	31.1%	26.5%
Draw	22.1%	24.3%	22.5%
Sarpsborg 08 win	43.3%	44.6%	50.9%
HamKam or draw	56.7%	—	49.0%
HamKam or Sarpsborg 08	77.9%	—	77.5%
Draw or Sarpsborg 08	65.3%	—	73.4%
Over 1.5 goals	86.7%	—	81.3%
Under 1.5 goals	13.3%	—	18.7%
Over 2.5 goals	68.4%	61.5%	60.6%
Under 2.5 goals	31.6%	38.5%	39.4%
Over 3.5 goals	46.9%	—	40.1%
Under 3.5 goals	53.1%	—	59.9%
Both teams to score	68.5%	—	57.7%
Not both teams to score	31.5%	—	42.3%
HamKam to score	81.0%	—	62.0%
Sarpsborg 08 to score	84.6%	—	79.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.9%	5.5%	5.1%	3.2%	1.5%	0.6%
1	4.9%	9.1%	8.5%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%
2	4.0%	7.6%	7.1%	4.4%	2.1%	0.8%
3	2.2%	4.2%	3.9%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–19.1%
2.1–28.5%
3.2–17.6%
4.2–27.1%
5.0–15.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.87. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

HamKamDLLWLL

Scored 9 · Conceded 17

Sun 1 Novat KFUM2–2xG 0.98–1.26
Sat 24 Octat Rosenborg0–3xG 0.55–2.01
Sat 17 Octat Bodø / Glimt0–2xG 0.51–1.83
Sun 11 Octat Start4–2xG 2.77–1.91
Sun 20 Septat Tromsø2–3xG 0.26–2.38
Sun 13 Septat Molde1–5xG 1.47–2.48

Sarpsborg 08LWLWLD

Scored 10 · Conceded 14

Sun 1 Novat Kristiansund2–4xG 3.96–2.46
Sun 25 Octat Aalesund2–1xG 3.64–0.40
Sun 18 Octat Rosenborg0–3xG 1.09–2.02
Sun 11 Octat Aalesund4–2xG 2.25–2.24
Fri 18 Septat KFUM1–3xG 2.81–1.08
Sun 13 Septat Fredrikstad1–1xG 0.27–1.77

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

HamKam: −0.45 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 6.54 xG, conceded 17 on 11.87 xG against.

Sarpsborg 08: −1.34 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 14.02 xG, conceded 14 on 9.97 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

HamKam win

34.7%

31.1%

26.5%

Draw

22.1%

24.3%

22.5%

Sarpsborg 08 win

43.3%

44.6%

50.9%

HamKam or draw

56.7%

—

49.0%

HamKam or Sarpsborg 08

77.9%

—

77.5%

Draw or Sarpsborg 08

65.3%

—

73.4%

Over 1.5 goals

86.7%

—

81.3%

Under 1.5 goals

13.3%

—

18.7%

Over 2.5 goals

68.4%

61.5%

60.6%

Under 2.5 goals

31.6%

38.5%

39.4%

Over 3.5 goals

46.9%

—

40.1%

Under 3.5 goals

53.1%

—

59.9%

Both teams to score

68.5%

—

57.7%

Not both teams to score

31.5%

—

42.3%

HamKam to score

81.0%

—

62.0%

Sarpsborg 08 to score

84.6%

—

79.9%

2.9%

5.5%

5.1%

3.2%

1.5%

0.6%

4.9%

9.1%

8.5%

5.3%

2.5%

0.9%

4.0%

7.6%

7.1%

4.4%

2.1%

0.8%

2.2%

4.2%

3.9%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

0.9%

1.7%

1.6%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.3%

0.6%

0.5%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%