EliteserienPartial

Lillestrøm vs Aalesund

Sunday 8 November at 23:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Lillestrøm win	55.0%	54.9%	47.6%
Draw	19.5%	21.2%	21.8%
Aalesund win	25.5%	23.9%	30.6%
Lillestrøm or draw	74.5%	—	69.4%
Lillestrøm or Aalesund	80.5%	—	78.1%
Draw or Aalesund	45.0%	—	52.4%
Over 1.5 goals	90.6%	—	88.3%
Under 1.5 goals	9.4%	—	11.8%
Over 2.5 goals	75.7%	69.6%	71.8%
Under 2.5 goals	24.3%	30.4%	28.2%
Over 3.5 goals	56.0%	—	51.6%
Under 3.5 goals	44.0%	—	48.3%
Both teams to score	72.3%	—	69.1%
Not both teams to score	27.7%	—	30.9%
Lillestrøm to score	90.7%	—	81.0%
Aalesund to score	79.7%	—	68.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.9%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%
1	4.5%	7.2%	5.7%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
2	5.3%	8.5%	6.8%	3.6%	1.4%	0.5%
3	4.2%	6.7%	5.4%	2.8%	1.1%	0.4%
4	2.5%	4.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
5	1.2%	1.9%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1.2–18.5%
2.1–17.2%
3.2–26.8%
4.3–16.7%
5.1–25.7%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.37 – 1.59. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

LillestrømLWWLWD

Scored 7 · Conceded 10

Thu 5 Novat Viktoria Plzen0–1xG 0.80–1.84
Sun 1 Novat Start1–0xG 2.62–1.56
Sun 25 Octat Brann3–2xG 1.82–1.57
Thu 22 Octat Real Sociedad0–6xG 2.25–2.81
Sun 18 Octat Sandefjord2–0xG 0.72–1.41
Thu 15 Octat Sparta Praha1–1xG 0.54–1.02

AalesundLLWLWL

Scored 13 · Conceded 14

Sat 31 Octat Sandefjord3–4xG 1.93–2.31
Sun 25 Octat Sarpsborg 081–2xG 0.40–3.64
Sat 17 Octat Kristiansund4–1xG 1.93–1.58
Sun 11 Octat Sarpsborg 082–4xG 2.24–2.25
Sat 19 Septat Molde2–1xG 1.30–1.96
Sun 13 Septat KFUM1–2xG 1.62–1.55

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Lillestrøm: −0.26 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.75 xG, conceded 10 on 10.21 xG against.

Aalesund: +0.48 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 9.42 xG, conceded 14 on 13.30 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Lillestrøm win

55.0%

54.9%

47.6%

Draw

19.5%

21.2%

21.8%

Aalesund win

25.5%

23.9%

30.6%

Lillestrøm or draw

74.5%

—

69.4%

Lillestrøm or Aalesund

80.5%

—

78.1%

Draw or Aalesund

45.0%

—

52.4%

Over 1.5 goals

90.6%

—

88.3%

Under 1.5 goals

9.4%

—

11.8%

Over 2.5 goals

75.7%

69.6%

71.8%

Under 2.5 goals

24.3%

30.4%

28.2%

Over 3.5 goals

56.0%

—

51.6%

Under 3.5 goals

44.0%

—

48.3%

Both teams to score

72.3%

—

69.1%

Not both teams to score

27.7%

—

30.9%

Lillestrøm to score

90.7%

—

81.0%

Aalesund to score

79.7%

—

68.4%

1.9%

3.0%

2.4%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

4.5%

7.2%

5.7%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

5.3%

8.5%

6.8%

3.6%

1.4%

0.5%

4.2%

6.7%

5.4%

2.8%

1.1%

0.4%

2.5%

4.0%

3.2%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

1.2%

1.9%

1.5%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%