Major League SoccerCalibrated

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City

Sunday 8 November at 07:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Houston Dynamo win	39.0%	36.5%	44.3%
Draw	23.9%	26.6%	26.9%
St. Louis City win	37.1%	36.9%	28.9%
Houston Dynamo or draw	62.9%	—	71.2%
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City	76.1%	—	73.2%
Draw or St. Louis City	61.0%	—	55.7%
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	—	74.2%
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	—	25.9%
Over 2.5 goals	59.8%	57.8%	51.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.2%	42.2%	49.0%
Over 3.5 goals	37.4%	—	29.5%
Under 3.5 goals	62.6%	—	70.5%
Both teams to score	62.0%	—	54.2%
Not both teams to score	38.0%	—	45.8%
Houston Dynamo to score	79.2%	—	75.1%
St. Louis City to score	78.3%	—	64.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.5%	6.9%	5.3%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.1%	10.8%	8.3%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
2	5.6%	8.5%	6.5%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
3	2.9%	4.5%	3.4%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.8%
2.2–18.5%
3.1–28.3%
4.1–07.1%
5.0–16.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.53. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Houston DynamoLWDDDD

Scored 9 · Conceded 10

Mon 2 Novat Portland Timbers1–3xG 0.60–2.94
Thu 29 Octat Seattle Sounders1–0xG 0.37–1.93
Sun 25 Octat Minnesota United0–0xG 1.04–1.50
Sun 18 Octat Dallas2–2xG 1.44–2.73
Thu 15 Octat San Diego3–3xG 1.05–2.87
Sun 11 Octat Minnesota United2–2xG 1.60–1.53

St. Louis CityLLLLDW

Scored 10 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat San Diego0–1xG 1.40–0.86
Thu 29 Octat Portland Timbers2–3xG 2.14–1.16
Sun 25 Octat Real Salt Lake0–3xG 0.13–3.37
Sat 17 Octat Minnesota United2–3xG 1.48–2.71
Thu 15 Octat Vancouver Whitecaps0–0xG 0.95–1.17
Sun 11 Octat LA Galaxy6–2xG 2.47–1.72

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Houston Dynamo: +1.06 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 6.11 xG, conceded 10 on 13.50 xG against.

St. Louis City: +0.07 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 8.58 xG, conceded 12 on 10.99 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Houston Dynamo win

39.0%

36.5%

44.3%

Draw

23.9%

26.6%

26.9%

St. Louis City win

37.1%

36.9%

28.9%

Houston Dynamo or draw

62.9%

—

71.2%

Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City

76.1%

—

73.2%

Draw or St. Louis City

61.0%

—

55.7%

Over 1.5 goals

81.5%

—

74.2%

Under 1.5 goals

18.5%

—

25.9%

Over 2.5 goals

59.8%

57.8%

51.0%

Under 2.5 goals

40.2%

42.2%

49.0%

Over 3.5 goals

37.4%

—

29.5%

Under 3.5 goals

62.6%

—

70.5%

Both teams to score

62.0%

—

54.2%

Not both teams to score

38.0%

—

45.8%

Houston Dynamo to score

79.2%

—

75.1%

St. Louis City to score

78.3%

—

64.3%

4.5%

6.9%

5.3%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

7.1%

10.8%

8.3%

4.2%

1.6%

0.5%

5.6%

8.5%

6.5%

3.3%

1.3%

0.4%

2.9%

4.5%

3.4%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

1.1%

1.7%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%