Major League SoccerCalibrated

San Diego vs Sporting KC

Sunday 8 November at 07:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
San Diego win	74.5%	61.7%	63.1%
Draw	13.5%	18.7%	20.2%
Sporting KC win	12.0%	19.6%	16.7%
San Diego or draw	88.0%	—	83.3%
San Diego or Sporting KC	86.5%	—	79.8%
Draw or Sporting KC	25.5%	—	36.9%
Over 1.5 goals	93.7%	—	84.0%
Under 1.5 goals	6.3%	—	16.0%
Over 2.5 goals	82.2%	75.0%	64.7%
Under 2.5 goals	17.8%	24.9%	35.3%
Over 3.5 goals	65.0%	—	41.6%
Under 3.5 goals	35.0%	—	58.4%
Both teams to score	69.3%	—	58.2%
Not both teams to score	30.7%	—	41.8%
San Diego to score	95.8%	—	87.2%
Sporting KC to score	72.3%	—	52.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 9 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	3.7%	4.7%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
2	5.8%	7.5%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
3	6.2%	7.9%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	4.9%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
5	3.1%	4.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1.3–17.9%
2.2–17.5%
3.4–16.3%
4.3–06.2%
5.2–05.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 3.17 – 1.28. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

San DiegoWLDDDL

Scored 10 · Conceded 15

Sat 31 Octat St. Louis City1–0xG 0.86–1.40
Thu 29 Octat Vancouver Whitecaps1–4xG 2.68–2.54
Sun 25 Octat Seattle Sounders2–2xG 3.08–1.14
Sun 18 Octat LA Galaxy2–2xG 2.08–0.63
Thu 15 Octat Houston Dynamo3–3xG 2.87–1.05
Sat 10 Octat New York RB1–4xG 2.29–3.35

Sporting KCDLLLLD

Scored 7 · Conceded 16

Sat 31 Octat Dallas1–1xG 0.92–1.68
Thu 29 Octat Minnesota United1–3xG 0.80–2.32
Sun 25 Octat Austin1–2xG 1.78–1.63
Sun 18 Octat Real Salt Lake1–3xG 1.02–1.33
Thu 15 Octat Nashville SC0–4xG 0.67–3.97
Sun 11 Octat Portland Timbers3–3xG 1.97–1.48

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

San Diego: −1.46 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 13.87 xG, conceded 15 on 10.11 xG against.

Sporting KC: −0.63 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 7.16 xG, conceded 16 on 12.41 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

San Diego win

74.5%

61.7%

63.1%

Draw

13.5%

18.7%

20.2%

Sporting KC win

12.0%

19.6%

16.7%

San Diego or draw

88.0%

—

83.3%

San Diego or Sporting KC

86.5%

—

79.8%

Draw or Sporting KC

25.5%

—

36.9%

Over 1.5 goals

93.7%

—

84.0%

Under 1.5 goals

6.3%

—

16.0%

Over 2.5 goals

82.2%

75.0%

64.7%

Under 2.5 goals

17.8%

24.9%

35.3%

Over 3.5 goals

65.0%

—

41.6%

Under 3.5 goals

35.0%

—

58.4%

Both teams to score

69.3%

—

58.2%

Not both teams to score

30.7%

—

41.8%

San Diego to score

95.8%

—

87.2%

Sporting KC to score

72.3%

—

52.8%

1.2%

1.5%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

3.7%

4.7%

3.0%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

5.8%

7.5%

4.8%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

6.2%

7.9%

5.1%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

4.9%

6.3%

4.0%

1.7%

0.6%

0.1%

3.1%

4.0%

2.6%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%