Major League SoccerCalibrated

Austin vs Portland Timbers

Sunday 8 November at 07:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Austin win	29.1%	22.7%	40.1%
Draw	21.8%	21.9%	25.2%
Portland Timbers win	49.0%	55.4%	34.8%
Austin or draw	51.0%	—	65.3%
Austin or Portland Timbers	78.2%	—	74.9%
Draw or Portland Timbers	70.9%	—	59.9%
Over 1.5 goals	85.9%	—	76.9%
Under 1.5 goals	14.1%	—	23.1%
Over 2.5 goals	67.0%	68.5%	53.9%
Under 2.5 goals	33.0%	31.4%	46.0%
Over 3.5 goals	45.3%	—	32.2%
Under 3.5 goals	54.7%	—	67.8%
Both teams to score	66.5%	—	56.9%
Not both teams to score	33.5%	—	43.1%
Austin to score	77.3%	—	73.5%
Portland Timbers to score	86.0%	—	69.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 9 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.2%	6.2%	6.1%	4.0%	2.0%	0.8%
1	4.7%	9.3%	9.1%	6.0%	2.9%	1.2%
2	3.5%	6.9%	6.8%	4.4%	2.2%	0.9%
3	1.7%	3.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	1.3%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
5	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–19.3%
2.1–29.1%
3.2–16.9%
4.2–26.8%
5.0–16.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.97. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AustinLLWLLL

Scored 7 · Conceded 16

Sat 31 Octat LA Galaxy1–4xG 1.59–3.02
Thu 29 Octat Real Salt Lake1–2xG 0.91–2.05
Sun 25 Octat Sporting KC2–1xG 1.63–1.78
Sun 18 Octat Vancouver Whitecaps1–2xG 0.38–0.87
Thu 15 Octat Los Angeles FC1–3xG 0.97–3.80
Sun 11 Octat Nashville SC1–4xG 1.02–4.08

Portland TimbersWWWDLD

Scored 12 · Conceded 10

Mon 2 Novat Houston Dynamo3–1xG 2.94–0.60
Thu 29 Octat St. Louis City3–2xG 1.16–2.14
Sun 25 Octat Charlotte3–2xG 3.37–1.00
Sun 18 Octat Colorado Rapids0–0xG 0.83–1.32
Thu 15 Octat LA Galaxy0–2xG 0.75–1.29
Sun 11 Octat Sporting KC3–3xG 1.48–1.97

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Austin: +0.02 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 6.50 xG, conceded 16 on 15.60 xG against.

Portland Timbers: −0.03 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 10.53 xG, conceded 10 on 8.34 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Austin win

29.1%

22.7%

40.1%

Draw

21.8%

21.9%

25.2%

Portland Timbers win

49.0%

55.4%

34.8%

Austin or draw

51.0%

—

65.3%

Austin or Portland Timbers

78.2%

—

74.9%

Draw or Portland Timbers

70.9%

—

59.9%

Over 1.5 goals

85.9%

—

76.9%

Under 1.5 goals

14.1%

—

23.1%

Over 2.5 goals

67.0%

68.5%

53.9%

Under 2.5 goals

33.0%

31.4%

46.0%

Over 3.5 goals

45.3%

—

32.2%

Under 3.5 goals

54.7%

—

67.8%

Both teams to score

66.5%

—

56.9%

Not both teams to score

33.5%

—

43.1%

Austin to score

77.3%

—

73.5%

Portland Timbers to score

86.0%

—

69.3%

3.2%

6.2%

6.1%

4.0%

2.0%

0.8%

4.7%

9.3%

9.1%

6.0%

2.9%

1.2%

3.5%

6.9%

6.8%

4.4%

2.2%

0.9%

1.7%

3.4%

3.3%

2.2%

1.1%

0.4%

0.6%

1.3%

1.2%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%