Major League SoccerCalibrated

Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy

Sunday 8 November at 07:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Real Salt Lake win	53.5%	55.8%	54.2%
Draw	21.0%	21.8%	23.4%
LA Galaxy win	25.5%	22.4%	22.4%
Real Salt Lake or draw	74.5%	—	77.6%
Real Salt Lake or LA Galaxy	79.0%	—	76.6%
Draw or LA Galaxy	46.5%	—	45.8%
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	—	81.1%
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	—	18.9%
Over 2.5 goals	68.0%	67.4%	60.4%
Under 2.5 goals	32.0%	32.6%	39.6%
Over 3.5 goals	46.4%	—	38.7%
Under 3.5 goals	53.6%	—	61.3%
Both teams to score	66.2%	—	60.3%
Not both teams to score	33.8%	—	39.7%
Real Salt Lake to score	87.7%	—	82.8%
LA Galaxy to score	75.4%	—	60.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.0%	4.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
1	6.3%	8.9%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
2	6.6%	9.3%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
3	4.6%	6.5%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.4%	3.4%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1.2–19.3%
2.1–18.9%
3.2–06.6%
4.2–26.5%
5.3–16.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.40. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Real Salt LakeLWWWDL

Scored 11 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat SJ Earthquakes1–2xG 1.20–2.16
Thu 29 Octat Austin2–1xG 2.05–0.91
Sun 25 Octat St. Louis City3–0xG 3.37–0.13
Sun 18 Octat Sporting KC3–1xG 1.33–1.02
Thu 15 Octat SJ Earthquakes1–1xG 2.21–1.55
Sat 10 Octat Philadelphia Union1–2xG 0.95–1.73

LA GalaxyWDDWLW

Scored 15 · Conceded 13

Sat 31 Octat Austin4–1xG 3.02–1.59
Mon 26 Octat Los Angeles FC2–2xG 1.47–2.61
Sun 18 Octat San Diego2–2xG 0.63–2.08
Thu 15 Octat Portland Timbers2–0xG 1.29–0.75
Sun 11 Octat St. Louis City2–6xG 1.72–2.47
Sun 27 Septat Colorado Rapids3–2xG 1.66–1.15

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Real Salt Lake: +0.06 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.11 xG, conceded 7 on 7.50 xG against.

LA Galaxy: +0.48 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 15 on 9.78 xG, conceded 13 on 10.66 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Real Salt Lake win

53.5%

55.8%

54.2%

Draw

21.0%

21.8%

23.4%

LA Galaxy win

25.5%

22.4%

Real Salt Lake or draw

74.5%

—

77.6%

Real Salt Lake or LA Galaxy

79.0%

—

76.6%

Draw or LA Galaxy

46.5%

—

45.8%

Over 1.5 goals

86.4%

—

81.1%

Under 1.5 goals

13.6%

—

18.9%

Over 2.5 goals

68.0%

67.4%

60.4%

Under 2.5 goals

32.0%

32.6%

39.6%

Over 3.5 goals

46.4%

—

38.7%

Under 3.5 goals

53.6%

—

61.3%

Both teams to score

66.2%

—

60.3%

Not both teams to score

33.8%

—

39.7%

Real Salt Lake to score

87.7%

—

82.8%

LA Galaxy to score

75.4%

—

60.3%

3.0%

4.2%

3.0%

1.4%

0.5%

0.1%

6.3%

8.9%

6.2%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

6.6%

9.3%

6.5%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

4.6%

6.5%

4.6%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

2.4%

3.4%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

1.0%

1.4%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.0%