Major League SoccerCalibrated

DC United vs New York City

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
DC United win	29.5%	30.8%	33.1%
Draw	24.2%	27.6%	26.5%
New York City win	46.3%	41.6%	40.4%
DC United or draw	53.7%	—	59.6%
DC United or New York City	75.8%	—	73.5%
Draw or New York City	70.5%	—	66.9%
Over 1.5 goals	78.9%	—	75.3%
Under 1.5 goals	21.1%	—	24.7%
Over 2.5 goals	55.9%	52.3%	51.2%
Under 2.5 goals	44.1%	47.7%	48.8%
Over 3.5 goals	33.5%	—	29.8%
Under 3.5 goals	66.5%	—	70.2%
Both teams to score	58.1%	—	55.0%
Not both teams to score	41.9%	—	45.0%
DC United to score	71.9%	—	68.0%
New York City to score	80.8%	—	73.4%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.4%	8.9%	7.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
1	6.8%	11.3%	9.3%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
2	4.3%	7.2%	5.9%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
3	1.8%	3.0%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–111.3%
2.1–29.3%
3.0–18.9%
4.0–27.3%
5.2–17.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.65. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

DC UnitedLLLLLW

Scored 5 · Conceded 14

Sat 31 Octat Columbus Crew0–3xG 1.15–1.27
Wed 28 Octat Toronto1–2xG 1.50–1.12
Sat 24 Octat Cincinnati0–2xG 0.80–1.12
Wed 21 Octat Cincinnati1–2xG 1.02–1.56
Sat 17 Octat Orlando City1–4xG 2.41–2.31
Wed 14 Octat New York RB2–1xG 1.21–2.43

New York CityDWDDLL

Scored 7 · Conceded 9

Sat 31 Octat CF Montreal1–1xG 1.36–0.73
Wed 28 Octat Atlanta United2–1xG 1.26–2.16
Sat 24 Octat Orlando City2–2xG 3.52–1.16
Sat 17 Octat Los Angeles FC1–1xG 1.05–0.87
Wed 14 Octat Inter Miami0–2xG 1.76–2.26
Sat 10 Octat Chicago Fire1–2xG 1.54–1.04

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

DC United: −1.22 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 5 on 8.09 xG, conceded 14 on 9.80 xG against.

New York City: −0.71 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 10.49 xG, conceded 9 on 8.21 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

DC United win

29.5%

30.8%

33.1%

Draw

24.2%

27.6%

26.5%

New York City win

46.3%

41.6%

40.4%

DC United or draw

53.7%

—

59.6%

DC United or New York City

75.8%

—

73.5%

Draw or New York City

70.5%

—

66.9%

Over 1.5 goals

78.9%

—

75.3%

Under 1.5 goals

21.1%

—

24.7%

Over 2.5 goals

55.9%

52.3%

51.2%

Under 2.5 goals

44.1%

47.7%

48.8%

Over 3.5 goals

33.5%

—

29.8%

Under 3.5 goals

66.5%

—

70.2%

Both teams to score

58.1%

—

55.0%

Not both teams to score

41.9%

—

45.0%

DC United to score

71.9%

—

68.0%

New York City to score

80.8%

—

73.4%

5.4%

8.9%

7.3%

4.0%

1.7%

0.5%

6.8%

11.3%

9.3%

5.1%

2.1%

0.7%

4.3%

7.2%

5.9%

3.3%

1.3%

0.4%

1.8%

3.0%

2.5%

1.4%

0.6%

0.2%

0.6%

1.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%