Major League SoccerCalibrated

Orlando City vs New England

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Orlando City win	49.8%	48.4%	41.9%
Draw	19.7%	22.5%	23.4%
New England win	30.5%	29.1%	34.7%
Orlando City or draw	69.5%	—	65.3%
Orlando City or New England	80.3%	—	76.6%
Draw or New England	50.2%	—	58.1%
Over 1.5 goals	91.9%	—	84.1%
Under 1.5 goals	8.1%	—	15.9%
Over 2.5 goals	78.3%	72.3%	64.7%
Under 2.5 goals	21.7%	27.7%	35.3%
Over 3.5 goals	59.5%	—	43.6%
Under 3.5 goals	40.5%	—	56.4%
Both teams to score	75.6%	—	65.3%
Not both teams to score	24.4%	—	34.7%
Orlando City to score	90.3%	—	77.5%
New England to score	83.7%	—	71.1%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 8 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.6%	2.9%	2.6%	1.6%	0.7%	0.3%
1	3.7%	6.7%	6.1%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
2	4.3%	7.8%	7.1%	4.3%	1.9%	0.7%
3	3.3%	6.1%	5.5%	3.3%	1.5%	0.6%
4	1.9%	3.5%	3.2%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
5	0.9%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1.2–17.8%
2.2–27.1%
3.1–16.7%
4.1–26.1%
5.3–16.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.33 – 1.82. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Orlando CityLDDWDW

Scored 14 · Conceded 14

Sat 31 Octat Charlotte0–4xG 1.18–2.31
Thu 29 Octat Chicago Fire2–2xG 1.12–2.57
Sat 24 Octat New York City2–2xG 1.16–3.52
Sat 17 Octat DC United4–1xG 2.31–2.41
Wed 14 Octat Toronto3–3xG 2.29–1.86
Sat 10 Octat Columbus Crew3–2xG 2.13–2.99

New EnglandLWWWWL

Scored 10 · Conceded 10

Mon 2 Novat Inter Miami1–2xG 1.62–1.45
Wed 28 Octat New York RB3–2xG 1.29–2.97
Sat 24 Octat Philadelphia Union2–1xG 2.32–3.26
Sat 17 Octat Chicago Fire1–0xG 0.37–1.33
Wed 14 Octat Cincinnati3–2xG 1.20–1.91
Sat 10 Octat Seattle Sounders0–3xG 0.93–1.10

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Orlando City: +0.91 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 10.19 xG, conceded 14 on 15.65 xG against.

New England: +0.72 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 7.72 xG, conceded 10 on 12.03 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Orlando City win

49.8%

48.4%

41.9%

Draw

19.7%

22.5%

23.4%

New England win

30.5%

29.1%

34.7%

Orlando City or draw

69.5%

—

65.3%

Orlando City or New England

80.3%

—

76.6%

Draw or New England

50.2%

—

58.1%

Over 1.5 goals

91.9%

—

84.1%

Under 1.5 goals

8.1%

—

15.9%

Over 2.5 goals

78.3%

72.3%

64.7%

Under 2.5 goals

21.7%

27.7%

35.3%

Over 3.5 goals

59.5%

—

43.6%

Under 3.5 goals

40.5%

—

56.4%

Both teams to score

75.6%

—

65.3%

Not both teams to score

24.4%

—

34.7%

Orlando City to score

90.3%

—

77.5%

New England to score

83.7%

—

71.1%

1.6%

2.9%

2.6%

1.6%

0.7%

0.3%

3.7%

6.7%

6.1%

3.7%

1.7%

0.6%

4.3%

7.8%

7.1%

4.3%

1.9%

0.7%

3.3%

6.1%

5.5%

3.3%

1.5%

0.6%

1.9%

3.5%

3.2%

1.9%

0.9%

0.3%

0.9%

1.6%

1.5%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%