Major League SoccerCalibrated

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Chicago Fire win	45.9%	49.1%	43.6%
Draw	21.4%	23.1%	23.5%
Columbus Crew win	32.7%	27.7%	32.8%
Chicago Fire or draw	67.3%	—	67.2%
Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew	78.6%	—	76.5%
Draw or Columbus Crew	54.1%	—	56.3%
Over 1.5 goals	88.2%	—	82.7%
Under 1.5 goals	11.8%	—	17.3%
Over 2.5 goals	71.2%	65.6%	62.1%
Under 2.5 goals	28.8%	34.4%	37.9%
Over 3.5 goals	50.2%	—	40.5%
Under 3.5 goals	49.8%	—	59.5%
Both teams to score	70.3%	—	63.2%
Not both teams to score	29.7%	—	36.8%
Chicago Fire to score	86.6%	—	77.8%
Columbus Crew to score	81.3%	—	69.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.5%	4.2%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
1	5.1%	8.5%	7.1%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
2	5.1%	8.5%	7.1%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
3	3.4%	5.7%	4.8%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.9%	2.4%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
5	0.7%	1.1%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1.2–18.5%
2.1–18.5%
3.2–27.1%
4.1–27.1%
5.3–15.7%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.01 – 1.68. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Chicago FireWDWLLW

Scored 12 · Conceded 11

Sun 1 Novat Colorado Rapids4–2xG 2.31–1.51
Thu 29 Octat Orlando City2–2xG 2.57–1.12
Sat 24 Octat Atlanta United3–2xG 1.11–1.06
Sat 17 Octat New England0–1xG 1.33–0.37
Thu 15 Octat Philadelphia Union1–3xG 1.18–2.45
Sat 10 Octat New York City2–1xG 1.04–1.54

Columbus CrewWWWWWL

Scored 16 · Conceded 6

Sat 31 Octat DC United3–0xG 1.27–1.15
Thu 29 Octat Dallas2–0xG 1.28–1.13
Sat 24 Octat Toronto4–2xG 1.84–3.03
Sun 18 Octat Cincinnati2–0xG 0.27–2.25
Wed 14 Octat Charlotte3–1xG 4.69–0.81
Sat 10 Octat Orlando City2–3xG 2.99–2.13

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Chicago Fire: −0.08 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 9.53 xG, conceded 11 on 8.06 xG against.

Columbus Crew: +1.36 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 16 on 12.35 xG, conceded 6 on 10.51 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Chicago Fire win

45.9%

49.1%

43.6%

Draw

21.4%

23.1%

23.5%

Columbus Crew win

32.7%

27.7%

32.8%

Chicago Fire or draw

67.3%

—

67.2%

Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew

78.6%

—

76.5%

Draw or Columbus Crew

54.1%

—

56.3%

Over 1.5 goals

88.2%

—

82.7%

Under 1.5 goals

11.8%

—

17.3%

Over 2.5 goals

71.2%

65.6%

62.1%

Under 2.5 goals

28.8%

34.4%

37.9%

Over 3.5 goals

50.2%

—

40.5%

Under 3.5 goals

49.8%

—

59.5%

Both teams to score

70.3%

—

63.2%

Not both teams to score

29.7%

—

36.8%

Chicago Fire to score

86.6%

—

77.8%

Columbus Crew to score

81.3%

—

69.6%

2.5%

4.2%

3.5%

2.0%

0.8%

0.3%

5.1%

8.5%

7.1%

4.0%

1.7%

0.6%

5.1%

8.5%

7.1%

4.0%

1.7%

0.6%

3.4%

5.7%

4.8%

2.7%

1.1%

0.4%

1.7%

2.9%

2.4%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.7%

1.1%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%