Major League SoccerCalibrated

CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
CF Montréal win	19.1%	20.8%	25.6%
Draw	21.7%	21.6%	24.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps win	59.2%	57.6%	49.9%
CF Montréal or draw	40.8%	—	50.1%
CF Montréal or Vancouver Whitecaps	78.3%	—	75.5%
Draw or Vancouver Whitecaps	80.9%	—	74.4%
Over 1.5 goals	79.3%	—	76.5%
Under 1.5 goals	20.7%	—	23.6%
Over 2.5 goals	56.5%	66.3%	53.3%
Under 2.5 goals	43.5%	33.7%	46.7%
Over 3.5 goals	34.1%	—	32.1%
Under 3.5 goals	65.9%	—	67.9%
Both teams to score	54.4%	—	53.8%
Not both teams to score	45.6%	—	46.2%
CF Montréal to score	63.5%	—	61.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps to score	85.7%	—	78.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.2%	10.2%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%	1.2%
1	5.3%	10.2%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%	1.2%
2	2.7%	5.2%	5.0%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–110.2%
2.0–110.2%
3.1–29.9%
4.0–29.9%
5.1–36.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.94. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

CF MontréalDLLDLL

Scored 3 · Conceded 13

Sat 31 Octat New York City1–1xG 0.73–1.36
Wed 28 Octat Charlotte0–4xG 0.56–2.13
Sat 24 Octat Nashville SC0–2xG 0.71–2.05
Sun 18 Octat Seattle Sounders1–1xG 1.20–1.51
Wed 14 Octat Atlanta United0–3xG 0.46–2.09
Sat 10 Octat Toronto1–2xG 1.11–1.62

Vancouver WhitecapsWWLWDD

Scored 12 · Conceded 5

Sun 1 Novat Seattle Sounders5–1xG 2.39–0.99
Thu 29 Octat San Diego4–1xG 2.54–2.68
Sun 25 Octat Colorado Rapids0–1xG 0.49–2.31
Sun 18 Octat Austin2–1xG 0.87–0.38
Thu 15 Octat St. Louis City0–0xG 1.17–0.95
Sun 11 Octat Los Angeles FC1–1xG 0.90–1.10

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

CF Montréal: −0.67 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 3 on 4.76 xG, conceded 13 on 10.75 xG against.

Vancouver Whitecaps: +1.17 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 8.37 xG, conceded 5 on 8.42 xG against.

Note: CF Montréal are underperforming against xG while Vancouver Whitecaps are overperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

CF Montréal win

19.1%

20.8%

25.6%

Draw

21.7%

21.6%

24.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps win

59.2%

57.6%

49.9%

CF Montréal or draw

40.8%

—

50.1%

CF Montréal or Vancouver Whitecaps

78.3%

—

75.5%

Draw or Vancouver Whitecaps

80.9%

—

74.4%

Over 1.5 goals

79.3%

—

76.5%

Under 1.5 goals

20.7%

—

23.6%

Over 2.5 goals

56.5%

66.3%

53.3%

Under 2.5 goals

43.5%

33.7%

46.7%

Over 3.5 goals

34.1%

—

32.1%

Under 3.5 goals

65.9%

—

67.9%

Both teams to score

54.4%

—

53.8%

Not both teams to score

45.6%

—

46.2%

CF Montréal to score

63.5%

—

61.2%

Vancouver Whitecaps to score

85.7%

—

78.4%

5.2%

10.2%

9.9%

6.4%

3.1%

1.2%

5.3%

10.2%

9.9%

6.4%

3.1%

1.2%

2.7%

5.2%

5.0%

3.2%

1.6%

0.6%

0.9%

1.7%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%