Major League SoccerCalibrated

New York RB vs Atlanta United

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
New York RB win	52.9%	52.3%	40.2%
Draw	21.3%	21.6%	24.6%
Atlanta United win	25.8%	26.1%	35.2%
New York RB or draw	74.2%	—	64.8%
New York RB or Atlanta United	78.7%	—	75.4%
Draw or Atlanta United	47.1%	—	59.9%
Over 1.5 goals	85.9%	—	80.6%
Under 1.5 goals	14.1%	—	19.4%
Over 2.5 goals	67.0%	72.9%	58.8%
Under 2.5 goals	33.0%	27.1%	41.2%
Over 3.5 goals	45.2%	—	36.7%
Under 3.5 goals	54.8%	—	63.3%
Both teams to score	65.5%	—	60.5%
Not both teams to score	34.5%	—	39.5%
New York RB to score	87.2%	—	74.3%
Atlanta United to score	75.1%	—	71.1%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.2%	4.4%	3.1%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
1	6.5%	9.1%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
2	6.7%	9.4%	6.5%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
3	4.6%	6.4%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.4%	3.3%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

1.2–19.4%
2.1–19.1%
3.2–06.7%
4.1–06.5%
5.2–26.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.06 – 1.39. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

New York RBLLWLLW

Scored 11 · Conceded 11

Sun 1 Novat Nashville SC2–3xG 2.18–2.52
Wed 28 Octat New England2–3xG 2.97–1.29
Sat 24 Octat Inter Miami2–0xG 3.07–0.98
Sat 17 Octat Toronto0–2xG 1.34–0.48
Wed 14 Octat DC United1–2xG 2.43–1.21
Sat 10 Octat San Diego4–1xG 3.35–2.29

Atlanta UnitedWLLLWL

Scored 11 · Conceded 12

Sun 1 Novat Toronto3–1xG 2.49–1.54
Wed 28 Octat New York City1–2xG 2.16–1.26
Sat 24 Octat Chicago Fire2–3xG 1.06–1.11
Sat 17 Octat Inter Miami1–3xG 2.03–1.36
Wed 14 Octat CF Montreal3–0xG 2.09–0.46
Sat 10 Octat Cincinnati1–3xG 1.84–1.87

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

New York RB: −1.09 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 15.33 xG, conceded 11 on 8.76 xG against.

Atlanta United: −0.85 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.68 xG, conceded 12 on 7.59 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

New York RB win

52.9%

52.3%

40.2%

Draw

21.3%

21.6%

24.6%

Atlanta United win

25.8%

26.1%

35.2%

New York RB or draw

74.2%

—

64.8%

New York RB or Atlanta United

78.7%

—

75.4%

Draw or Atlanta United

47.1%

—

59.9%

Over 1.5 goals

85.9%

—

80.6%

Under 1.5 goals

14.1%

—

19.4%

Over 2.5 goals

67.0%

72.9%

58.8%

Under 2.5 goals

33.0%

27.1%

41.2%

Over 3.5 goals

45.2%

—

36.7%

Under 3.5 goals

54.8%

—

63.3%

Both teams to score

65.5%

—

60.5%

Not both teams to score

34.5%

—

39.5%

New York RB to score

87.2%

—

74.3%

Atlanta United to score

75.1%

—

71.1%

3.2%

4.4%

3.1%

1.4%

0.5%

0.1%

6.5%

9.1%

6.3%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

6.7%

9.4%

6.5%

3.0%

1.0%

0.3%

4.6%

6.4%

4.5%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

2.4%

3.3%

2.3%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

1.0%

1.4%

0.9%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%