Major League SoccerCalibrated

Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

Sunday 8 November at 04:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Cincinnati win	30.7%	36.2%	39.3%
Draw	23.2%	25.5%	25.1%
Nashville SC win	46.1%	38.3%	35.6%
Cincinnati or draw	53.9%	—	64.4%
Cincinnati or Nashville SC	76.8%	—	74.8%
Draw or Nashville SC	69.3%	—	60.7%
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	—	80.9%
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	—	19.1%
Over 2.5 goals	61.2%	62.1%	59.0%
Under 2.5 goals	38.8%	37.9%	41.0%
Over 3.5 goals	38.9%	—	36.7%
Under 3.5 goals	61.1%	—	63.3%
Both teams to score	62.4%	—	60.8%
Not both teams to score	37.6%	—	39.2%
Cincinnati to score	75.4%	—	74.7%
Nashville SC to score	82.8%	—	71.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · Pinnacle.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.2%	7.5%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
1	5.9%	10.4%	9.2%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
2	4.2%	7.3%	6.4%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.9%	3.4%	3.0%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.4%
2.1–29.2%
3.0–17.5%
4.2–17.3%
5.0–26.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.76. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

CincinnatiWDWWLL

Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat Philadelphia Union1–0xG 0.67–1.43
Wed 28 Octat Inter Miami2–2xG 0.84–1.17
Sat 24 Octat DC United2–0xG 1.12–0.80
Wed 21 Octat DC United2–1xG 1.56–1.02
Sun 18 Octat Columbus Crew0–2xG 2.25–0.27
Wed 14 Octat New England2–3xG 1.91–1.20

Nashville SCWDWDWW

Scored 14 · Conceded 4

Sun 1 Novat New York RB3–2xG 2.52–2.18
Thu 29 Octat Philadelphia Union0–0xG 1.08–0.91
Sat 24 Octat CF Montreal2–0xG 2.05–0.71
Sun 18 Octat SJ Earthquakes1–1xG 0.49–1.03
Thu 15 Octat Sporting KC4–0xG 3.97–0.67
Sun 11 Octat Austin4–1xG 4.08–1.02

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Cincinnati: −0.24 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 8.35 xG, conceded 8 on 5.90 xG against.

Nashville SC: +0.39 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 14.18 xG, conceded 4 on 6.51 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Cincinnati win

30.7%

36.2%

39.3%

Draw

23.2%

25.5%

25.1%

Nashville SC win

46.1%

38.3%

35.6%

Cincinnati or draw

53.9%

—

64.4%

Cincinnati or Nashville SC

76.8%

—

74.8%

Draw or Nashville SC

69.3%

—

60.7%

Over 1.5 goals

82.4%

—

80.9%

Under 1.5 goals

17.6%

—

19.1%

Over 2.5 goals

61.2%

62.1%

59.0%

Under 2.5 goals

38.8%

37.9%

41.0%

Over 3.5 goals

38.9%

—

36.7%

Under 3.5 goals

61.1%

—

63.3%

Both teams to score

62.4%

—

60.8%

Not both teams to score

37.6%

—

39.2%

Cincinnati to score

75.4%

—

74.7%

Nashville SC to score

82.8%

—

71.6%

4.2%

7.5%

6.6%

3.9%

1.7%

0.6%

5.9%

10.4%

9.2%

5.4%

2.4%

0.8%

4.2%

7.3%

6.4%

3.8%

1.7%

0.6%

1.9%

3.4%

3.0%

1.8%

0.8%

0.3%

0.7%

1.2%

1.1%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%