LaLigaCalibrated

Elche vs Real Betis

Sunday 8 November at 20:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Elche win	45.5%	29.6%	29.3%
Draw	23.6%	24.5%	26.8%
Real Betis win	30.9%	45.8%	44.0%
Elche or draw	69.1%	—	56.1%
Elche or Real Betis	76.4%	—	73.2%
Draw or Real Betis	54.5%	—	70.8%
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	—	73.9%
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	—	26.1%
Over 2.5 goals	59.3%	56.9%	49.8%
Under 2.5 goals	40.7%	43.1%	50.2%
Over 3.5 goals	37.0%	—	29.1%
Under 3.5 goals	63.0%	—	70.8%
Both teams to score	61.0%	—	53.3%
Not both teams to score	39.0%	—	46.6%
Elche to score	81.8%	—	64.5%
Real Betis to score	74.6%	—	74.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:28 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.6%	6.3%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
1	7.9%	10.8%	7.4%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
2	6.7%	9.2%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
3	3.8%	5.2%	3.6%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.8%
2.2–19.2%
3.1–07.9%
4.1–27.4%
5.2–06.7%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.37. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

ElcheLWWDDW

Scored 9 · Conceded 3

Sun 1 Novat Valencia CF0–1xG 1.33–1.02
Tue 27 Octat UD Pinatar3–1xG 4.32–0.14
Sat 24 Octat Rayo Vallecano3–0xG 2.54–1.46
Sat 17 Octat Villarreal CF0–0xG 0.37–1.83
Sun 11 Octat Celta Vigo0–0xG 0.88–0.30
Fri 18 Septat Espanyol3–1xG 0.71–1.13

Real BetisLWDWLW

Scored 9 · Conceded 10

Wed 4 Novat Borussia Dortmund1–2xG 0.89–2.64
Sat 31 Octat Malaga CF2–1xG 1.78–1.15
Sun 25 Octat Celta Vigo0–0xG 1.40–0.75
Wed 21 Octat Feyenoord1–0xG 2.19–0.99
Sat 17 Octat FC Barcelona2–5xG 0.87–2.33
Wed 14 Octat FC Porto3–2xG 1.97–1.08

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Elche: +0.29 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 10.15 xG, conceded 3 on 5.89 xG against.

Real Betis: −0.20 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 9.11 xG, conceded 10 on 8.94 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Elche win

45.5%

29.6%

29.3%

Draw

23.6%

24.5%

26.8%

Real Betis win

30.9%

45.8%

44.0%

Elche or draw

69.1%

—

56.1%

Elche or Real Betis

76.4%

—

73.2%

Draw or Real Betis

54.5%

—

70.8%

Over 1.5 goals

81.2%

—

73.9%

Under 1.5 goals

18.8%

—

26.1%

Over 2.5 goals

59.3%

56.9%

49.8%

Under 2.5 goals

40.7%

43.1%

50.2%

Over 3.5 goals

37.0%

—

29.1%

Under 3.5 goals

63.0%

—

70.8%

Both teams to score

61.0%

—

53.3%

Not both teams to score

39.0%

—

46.6%

Elche to score

81.8%

—

64.5%

Real Betis to score

74.6%

—

74.8%

4.6%

6.3%

4.3%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

7.9%

10.8%

7.4%

3.4%

1.2%

0.3%

6.7%

9.2%

6.3%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

3.8%

5.2%

3.6%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

1.6%

2.2%

1.5%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.6%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%