Ligue 1Calibrated

Angers vs Nice

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Angers win	32.3%	26.7%	31.5%
Draw	27.3%	25.1%	27.3%
Nice win	40.4%	48.1%	41.2%
Angers or draw	59.6%	—	58.8%
Angers or Nice	72.7%	—	72.7%
Draw or Nice	67.7%	—	68.5%
Over 1.5 goals	73.7%	—	74.6%
Under 1.5 goals	26.3%	—	25.4%
Over 2.5 goals	48.1%	54.8%	49.9%
Under 2.5 goals	51.9%	45.2%	50.0%
Over 3.5 goals	26.4%	—	28.2%
Under 3.5 goals	73.6%	—	71.8%
Both teams to score	53.2%	—	55.3%
Not both teams to score	46.8%	—	44.7%
Angers to score	70.3%	—	67.2%
Nice to score	75.0%	—	73.9%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.9%	9.8%	7.1%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.5%	13.0%	8.7%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
2	5.5%	7.6%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
3	2.2%	3.1%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–113.0%
2.0–19.8%
3.1–28.7%
4.1–08.5%
5.0–07.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.39. Correlation -0.04.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AngersLDLLLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 17

Sun 1 Novat Olympique Lyonnais0–2xG 0.62–2.52
Sun 25 Octat FC Lorient0–0xG 0.43–0.73
Sun 18 Octat Olympique Marseille2–5xG 2.00–2.83
Sun 18 Octat Olympique de Marseille2–5xG 2.21–2.71
Sat 10 Octat Stade Brestois 291–5xG 1.26–2.79
Sat 19 Septat ESTAC Troyes2–0xG 1.64–1.49

NiceWWLWWL

Scored 12 · Conceded 8

Fri 30 Octat Stade Rennais5–2xG 3.29–2.30
Fri 23 Octat Stade Brestois 292–1xG 0.72–1.79
Sun 18 Octat Olympique Lyonnais1–2xG 1.33–1.38
Sun 11 Octat RC Strasbourg2–1xG 1.12–0.80
Sun 20 Septat LOSC Lille2–1xG 1.21–1.65
Sat 12 Septat AJ Auxerre0–1xG 1.00–1.23

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Angers: −0.85 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.15 xG, conceded 17 on 13.07 xG against.

Nice: +0.75 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 8.66 xG, conceded 8 on 9.15 xG against.

Note: Angers are underperforming against xG while Nice are overperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Angers win

32.3%

26.7%

31.5%

Draw

27.3%

25.1%

27.3%

Nice win

40.4%

48.1%

41.2%

Angers or draw

59.6%

—

58.8%

Angers or Nice

72.7%

—

72.7%

Draw or Nice

67.7%

—

68.5%

Over 1.5 goals

73.7%

—

74.6%

Under 1.5 goals

26.3%

—

25.4%

Over 2.5 goals

48.1%

54.8%

49.9%

Under 2.5 goals

51.9%

45.2%

50.0%

Over 3.5 goals

26.4%

—

28.2%

Under 3.5 goals

73.6%

—

71.8%

Both teams to score

53.2%

—

55.3%

Not both teams to score

46.8%

—

44.7%

Angers to score

70.3%

—

67.2%

Nice to score

75.0%

—

73.9%

7.9%

9.8%

7.1%

3.3%

1.1%

0.3%

8.5%

13.0%

8.7%

4.0%

1.4%

0.4%

5.5%

7.6%

5.3%

2.4%

0.8%

0.2%

2.2%

3.1%

2.1%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%