Premier LeagueCalibrated

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford

Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Brighton & Hove Albion win	54.7%	50.8%	55.3%
Draw	21.5%	24.4%	25.2%
Brentford win	23.8%	24.8%	19.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw	76.2%	—	80.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion or Brentford	78.5%	—	74.8%
Draw or Brentford	45.3%	—	44.8%
Over 1.5 goals	84.0%	—	75.1%
Under 1.5 goals	16.0%	—	24.9%
Over 2.5 goals	63.8%	60.3%	52.2%
Under 2.5 goals	36.2%	39.8%	47.8%
Over 3.5 goals	41.7%	—	29.8%
Under 3.5 goals	58.3%	—	70.3%
Both teams to score	62.4%	—	51.3%
Not both teams to score	37.6%	—	48.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion to score	86.7%	—	81.3%
Brentford to score	71.9%	—	54.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 7 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.7%	4.7%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
1	7.5%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
2	7.6%	9.7%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.1%	6.5%	4.1%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.6%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–19.7%
2.1–19.6%
3.2–07.6%
4.1–07.5%
5.3–16.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.02 – 1.27. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Brighton & Hove AlbionWWLDWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 2

Thu 5 Novat Getafe CF1–0xG 1.22–0.40
Sat 31 Octat Manchester City1–0xG 0.97–2.06
Sun 25 Octat Liverpool0–2xG 1.69–1.27
Thu 22 Octat Jablonec0–0xG 1.81–1.34
Sun 18 Octat Crystal Palace5–0xG 2.41–0.56
Thu 15 Octat Kauno Zalgiris4–0xG 2.95–0.12

BrentfordWLDLDW

Scored 11 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat Nottingham Forest2–0xG 0.73–1.08
Wed 28 Octat Sunderland2–3xG 2.81–1.99
Sun 25 Octat Hull City1–1xG 1.75–1.86
Sat 17 Octat Liverpool1–2xG 1.52–1.76
Sat 10 Octat Aston Villa2–2xG 1.46–1.96
Fri 18 Septat Chelsea3–0xG 2.13–0.89

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Brighton & Hove Albion: +0.62 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.05 xG, conceded 2 on 5.76 xG against.

Brentford: +0.36 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 10.40 xG, conceded 8 on 9.53 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Brighton & Hove Albion win

54.7%

50.8%

55.3%

Draw

21.5%

24.4%

25.2%

Brentford win

23.8%

24.8%

19.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion or draw

76.2%

—

80.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion or Brentford

78.5%

—

74.8%

Draw or Brentford

45.3%

—

44.8%

Over 1.5 goals

84.0%

—

75.1%

Under 1.5 goals

16.0%

—

24.9%

Over 2.5 goals

63.8%

60.3%

52.2%

Under 2.5 goals

36.2%

39.8%

47.8%

Over 3.5 goals

41.7%

—

29.8%

Under 3.5 goals

58.3%

—

70.3%

Both teams to score

62.4%

—

51.3%

Not both teams to score

37.6%

—

48.7%

Brighton & Hove Albion to score

86.7%

—

81.3%

Brentford to score

71.9%

—

54.8%

3.7%

4.7%

3.0%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

7.5%

9.6%

6.1%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

7.6%

9.7%

6.1%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

5.1%

6.5%

4.1%

1.7%

0.6%

0.1%

2.6%

3.3%

2.1%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

1.0%

1.3%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%