EredivisiePartial

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

Sunday 8 November at 03:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Excelsior win	31.0%	34.9%	31.3%
Draw	21.5%	24.9%	25.7%
Go Ahead Eagles win	47.5%	40.2%	43.0%
Excelsior or draw	52.5%	—	57.0%
Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles	78.5%	—	74.3%
Draw or Go Ahead Eagles	69.0%	—	68.7%
Over 1.5 goals	87.5%	—	76.6%
Under 1.5 goals	12.5%	—	23.4%
Over 2.5 goals	69.8%	62.5%	54.8%
Under 2.5 goals	30.2%	37.5%	45.2%
Over 3.5 goals	48.6%	—	33.3%
Under 3.5 goals	51.4%	—	66.7%
Both teams to score	69.1%	—	56.6%
Not both teams to score	30.9%	—	43.4%
Excelsior to score	79.8%	—	66.5%
Go Ahead Eagles to score	86.6%	—	74.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 10 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:23 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.7%	5.5%	5.5%	3.7%	1.8%	0.7%
1	4.3%	8.7%	8.8%	5.9%	2.9%	1.2%
2	3.5%	7.0%	7.0%	4.7%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.8%	3.7%	3.7%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.5%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–28.8%
2.1–18.7%
3.2–27.0%
4.2–17.0%
5.1–35.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.60 – 2.01. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

ExcelsiorLWLLLL

Scored 4 · Conceded 20

Sun 1 Novat FC Twente0–9xG 0.00–5.55
Wed 28 Octat MVV Maastricht3–0
Sun 25 Octat Fortuna Sittard0–1xG 0.46–0.82
Sun 25 Octat For Sittard0–1xG 0.87–0.57
Fri 16 Octat SC Heerenveen0–4xG 1.06–2.42
Sun 11 Octat FC Groningen1–5xG 2.08–2.57

Go Ahead EaglesLWWLLD

Scored 13 · Conceded 17

Sat 31 Octat SC Cambuur0–4xG 0.63–1.41
Tue 27 Octat Koninklijke HFC5–0
Fri 23 Octat Telstar3–2xG 1.46–0.92
Sun 18 Octat PEC Zwolle1–4xG 2.79–2.33
Sun 18 Octat Zwolle1–4xG 2.74–1.77
Sat 10 Octat Sparta Rotterdam3–3xG 1.45–2.20

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Excelsior: −2.31 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 1 on 4.47 xG, conceded 20 on 11.94 xG against.

Go Ahead Eagles: −1.89 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 9.06 xG, conceded 17 on 8.62 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Excelsior win

31.0%

34.9%

31.3%

Draw

21.5%

24.9%

25.7%

Go Ahead Eagles win

47.5%

40.2%

43.0%

Excelsior or draw

52.5%

—

57.0%

Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles

78.5%

—

74.3%

Draw or Go Ahead Eagles

69.0%

—

68.7%

Over 1.5 goals

87.5%

—

76.6%

Under 1.5 goals

12.5%

—

23.4%

Over 2.5 goals

69.8%

62.5%

54.8%

Under 2.5 goals

30.2%

37.5%

45.2%

Over 3.5 goals

48.6%

—

33.3%

Under 3.5 goals

51.4%

—

66.7%

Both teams to score

69.1%

—

56.6%

Not both teams to score

30.9%

—

43.4%

Excelsior to score

79.8%

—

66.5%

Go Ahead Eagles to score

86.6%

—

74.9%

2.7%

5.5%

3.7%

1.8%

0.7%

4.3%

8.7%

8.8%

5.9%

2.9%

1.2%

3.5%

7.0%

4.7%

2.3%

0.9%

1.8%

3.7%

2.5%

1.3%

0.5%

0.7%

1.5%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.5%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%