Premier LeagueCalibrated

Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth

Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Ipswich Town win	19.8%	24.0%	—
Draw	21.6%	25.4%	—
Bournemouth win	58.6%	50.6%	—
Ipswich Town or draw	41.4%	—	—
Ipswich Town or Bournemouth	78.4%	—	—
Draw or Bournemouth	80.2%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	87.6%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	12.4%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	68.3%	54.8%	—
Under 2.5 goals	31.7%	45.2%	—
Over 3.5 goals	46.8%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	53.2%	—	—
Both teams to score	65.3%	—	—
Not both teams to score	34.7%	—	—
Ipswich Town to score	71.9%	—	—
Bournemouth to score	89.5%	—	—

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.9%	5.7%	7.5%	5.6%	3.2%	1.4%
1	2.8%	9.4%	9.5%	7.1%	4.0%	1.8%
2	2.4%	5.4%	6.0%	4.5%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.0%	2.3%	2.6%	1.9%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.2%
5	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–29.5%
2.1–19.4%
3.0–27.5%
4.1–37.1%
5.2–26.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.27 – 2.25. Correlation -0.11.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Ipswich TownDDLWLL

Scored 9 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat Hull City2–2xG 1.12–0.68
Fri 23 Octat Nottingham Forest1–1xG 0.64–2.65
Sat 17 Octat Manchester City2–3xG 1.38–3.18
Sat 10 Octat Fulham2–1xG 1.22–1.39
Sat 19 Septat Everton0–1xG 1.29–1.59
Tue 15 Septat Arsenal2–4xG 1.09–1.16

BournemouthWWWWWW

Scored 16 · Conceded 1

Thu 5 Novat Sparta Praha3–1xG 2.65–1.63
Sat 31 Octat Leeds United2–0xG 1.03–0.99
Wed 28 Octat Aston Villa3–0xG 2.85–1.94
Sun 25 Octat Manchester United3–0xG 1.39–1.26
Thu 22 Octat AC Milan3–0xG 3.06–0.08
Sun 18 Octat Sunderland2–0xG 3.25–0.08

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Ipswich Town: +0.15 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 6.73 xG, conceded 12 on 10.65 xG against.

Bournemouth: +1.13 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 16 on 14.23 xG, conceded 1 on 5.99 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Ipswich Town win

19.8%

24.0%

—

Draw

21.6%

25.4%

—

Bournemouth win

58.6%

50.6%

—

Ipswich Town or draw

41.4%

—

Ipswich Town or Bournemouth

78.4%

—

Draw or Bournemouth

80.2%

—

Over 1.5 goals

87.6%

—

Under 1.5 goals

12.4%

—

Over 2.5 goals

68.3%

54.8%

—

Under 2.5 goals

31.7%

45.2%

—

Over 3.5 goals

46.8%

—

Under 3.5 goals

53.2%

—

Both teams to score

65.3%

—

Not both teams to score

34.7%

—

Ipswich Town to score

71.9%

—

Bournemouth to score

89.5%

—

3.9%

5.7%

7.5%

5.6%

3.2%

1.4%

2.8%

9.4%

9.5%

7.1%

4.0%

1.8%

2.4%

5.4%

6.0%

4.5%

2.6%

1.1%

1.0%

2.3%

2.6%

1.9%

1.1%

0.5%

0.3%

0.7%

0.8%

0.6%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%