BundesligaPartial

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin

Sunday 8 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
SC Freiburg win	59.7%	63.6%	61.7%
Draw	21.2%	20.4%	21.5%
1. FC Union Berlin win	19.1%	16.0%	16.7%
SC Freiburg or draw	80.9%	—	83.2%
SC Freiburg or 1. FC Union Berlin	78.8%	—	78.4%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin	40.3%	—	38.2%
Over 1.5 goals	83.8%	—	80.0%
Under 1.5 goals	16.2%	—	20.0%
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	58.7%	58.8%
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	41.3%	41.2%
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	—	36.7%
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	—	63.3%
Both teams to score	59.7%	—	53.2%
Not both teams to score	40.3%	—	46.8%
SC Freiburg to score	87.9%	—	85.2%
1. FC Union Berlin to score	67.5%	—	52.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.3%	4.0%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
1	7.9%	9.7%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
2	8.8%	9.9%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
3	6.2%	7.0%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
5	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–19.9%
2.1–19.7%
3.2–08.8%
4.1–07.9%
5.3–17.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.12 – 1.12. Correlation -0.04.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

SC FreiburgWWWLLL

Scored 8 · Conceded 11

Thu 5 Novat Trabzonspor1–0xG 1.00–1.31
Sat 31 Octat FC Augsburg2–1xG 1.43–1.18
Wed 28 Octat VfL Wolfsburg3–2xG 1.61–1.13
Sun 25 Octat Bayern Munich1–3xG 1.41–1.89
Thu 22 Octat AS Monaco0–3xG 1.51–1.51
Sun 18 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2xG 1.12–1.52

1. FC Union BerlinDLDDWW

Scored 4 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat 1. FC Koln1–1xG 0.74–1.12
Tue 27 Octat 1. FC Koln0–5xG 1.22–2.27
Sat 24 Octat FC Augsburg1–1xG 1.27–2.50
Sat 17 Octat Borussia Dortmund0–0xG 0.90–1.07
Sat 10 Octat SV 07 Elversberg1–0xG 1.13–0.24
Sat 10 Octat SV Elversberg1–0xG 1.59–0.25

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

SC Freiburg: −0.42 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 8 on 8.08 xG, conceded 11 on 8.55 xG against.

1. FC Union Berlin: −0.40 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 4 on 6.86 xG, conceded 7 on 7.45 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

SC Freiburg win

59.7%

63.6%

61.7%

Draw

21.2%

20.4%

21.5%

1. FC Union Berlin win

19.1%

16.0%

16.7%

SC Freiburg or draw

80.9%

—

83.2%

SC Freiburg or 1. FC Union Berlin

78.8%

—

78.4%

Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin

40.3%

—

38.2%

Over 1.5 goals

83.8%

—

80.0%

Under 1.5 goals

16.2%

—

20.0%

Over 2.5 goals

62.8%

58.7%

58.8%

Under 2.5 goals

37.2%

41.3%

41.2%

Over 3.5 goals

40.6%

—

36.7%

Under 3.5 goals

59.4%

—

63.3%

Both teams to score

59.7%

—

53.2%

Not both teams to score

40.3%

—

46.8%

SC Freiburg to score

87.9%

—

85.2%

1. FC Union Berlin to score

67.5%

—

52.3%

4.3%

4.0%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

7.9%

9.7%

5.2%

2.0%

0.6%

0.1%

8.8%

9.9%

5.5%

2.1%

0.6%

0.1%

6.2%

7.0%

3.9%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

3.3%

3.7%

2.1%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

1.4%

1.6%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%