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Ligue 1Calibrated
Saturday 7 November at 23:15 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre win | 27.2% | 21.1% | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 24.3% | — |
| Paris FC win | 46.5% | 54.6% | — |
| Auxerre or draw | 53.5% | — | — |
| Auxerre or Paris FC | 73.7% | — | — |
| Draw or Paris FC | 72.8% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.9% | 54.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 45.2% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.0% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72.0% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 46.4% | — | — |
| Auxerre to score | 67.6% | — | — |
| Paris FC to score | 78.7% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.55. Correlation -0.04.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 12 · Conceded 15
Scored 11 · Conceded 10
Auxerre: −0.03 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 5 games: scored 8 on 4.86 xG, conceded 12 on 8.69 xG against.
Paris FC: +0.01 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 5 games: scored 10 on 8.08 xG, conceded 8 on 6.13 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.