Serie ACalibrated

Inter vs Como

Monday 9 November at 00:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Inter win	45.7%	51.5%	49.6%
Draw	24.8%	22.9%	21.9%
Como win	29.5%	25.6%	28.5%
Inter or draw	70.5%	—	71.5%
Inter or Como	75.2%	—	78.1%
Draw or Como	54.3%	—	50.4%
Over 1.5 goals	76.8%	—	85.1%
Under 1.5 goals	23.2%	—	14.9%
Over 2.5 goals	53.0%	63.7%	66.3%
Under 2.5 goals	47.0%	36.3%	33.7%
Over 3.5 goals	30.7%	—	44.0%
Under 3.5 goals	69.3%	—	56.0%
Both teams to score	55.9%	—	64.7%
Not both teams to score	44.1%	—	35.3%
Inter to score	79.3%	—	81.7%
Como to score	70.4%	—	66.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 4 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.1%	7.4%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
1	9.6%	11.7%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.6%	9.3%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
3	4.0%	4.9%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–111.7%
2.1–09.6%
3.2–19.3%
4.2–07.6%
5.0–17.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.22. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

InterWLWWWW

Scored 12 · Conceded 5

Tue 3 Novat Feyenoord3–0xG 1.23–0.77
Sat 31 Octat AC Milan1–3xG 1.61–0.51
Wed 28 Octat Venezia FC2–0xG 2.12–1.32
Sun 25 Octat ACF Fiorentina2–1xG 3.65–0.36
Wed 21 Octat Shakhtar Donetsk1–0xG 1.02–0.84
Sat 17 Octat Bologna FC3–1xG 2.65–1.05

ComoWWWWWW

Scored 22 · Conceded 4

Wed 4 Novat RC Lens9–1xG 2.94–0.91
Sun 1 Novat Venezia FC1–0xG 1.81–0.23
Tue 27 Octat Torino FC3–1xG 2.08–1.13
Sat 24 Octat US Sassuolo2–0xG 1.91–0.46
Wed 21 Octat Manchester United4–1xG 1.15–0.74
Sun 18 Octat ACF Fiorentina3–1xG 1.80–1.80

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Inter: −0.07 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 12.28 xG, conceded 5 on 4.85 xG against.

Como: +1.93 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 22 on 11.70 xG, conceded 4 on 5.28 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Inter win

45.7%

51.5%

49.6%

Draw

24.8%

22.9%

21.9%

Como win

29.5%

25.6%

28.5%

Inter or draw

70.5%

—

71.5%

Inter or Como

75.2%

—

78.1%

Draw or Como

54.3%

—

50.4%

Over 1.5 goals

76.8%

—

85.1%

Under 1.5 goals

23.2%

—

14.9%

Over 2.5 goals

53.0%

63.7%

66.3%

Under 2.5 goals

47.0%

36.3%

33.7%

Over 3.5 goals

30.7%

—

44.0%

Under 3.5 goals

69.3%

—

56.0%

Both teams to score

55.9%

—

64.7%

Not both teams to score

44.1%

—

35.3%

Inter to score

79.3%

—

81.7%

Como to score

70.4%

—

66.8%

6.1%

7.4%

4.5%

1.8%

0.6%

0.1%

9.6%

11.7%

7.2%

2.9%

0.9%

0.2%

7.6%

9.3%

5.6%

2.3%

0.7%

0.2%

4.0%

4.9%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

1.6%

1.9%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.6%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%