BundesligaPartial

VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen

Sunday 8 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
VfB Stuttgart win	61.2%	58.3%	58.8%
Draw	18.7%	20.4%	20.7%
SV Werder Bremen win	20.0%	21.3%	20.5%
VfB Stuttgart or draw	80.0%	—	79.5%
VfB Stuttgart or SV Werder Bremen	81.3%	—	79.3%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen	38.8%	—	41.2%
Over 1.5 goals	90.8%	—	83.5%
Under 1.5 goals	9.2%	—	16.6%
Over 2.5 goals	75.6%	71.9%	64.1%
Under 2.5 goals	24.4%	28.1%	35.9%
Over 3.5 goals	55.9%	—	42.8%
Under 3.5 goals	44.1%	—	57.2%
Both teams to score	70.2%	—	61.1%
Not both teams to score	29.8%	—	38.9%
VfB Stuttgart to score	92.1%	—	85.1%
SV Werder Bremen to score	76.0%	—	57.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.2%	2.4%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
1	4.6%	7.2%	4.9%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
2	6.1%	8.7%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
3	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	3.3%	4.7%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
5	1.7%	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1.2–18.7%
2.3–17.4%
3.1–17.2%
4.2–26.2%
5.2–06.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.53 – 1.43. Correlation -0.04.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

VfB StuttgartLWWLLD

Scored 10 · Conceded 11

Tue 3 Novat Galatasaray0–2xG 1.59–1.22
Sat 31 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen4–2xG 2.44–2.29
Wed 28 Octat SC Paderborn 071–0xG 2.69–0.90
Fri 23 Octat Borussia M'gladbach2–3xG 2.15–2.69
Fri 23 Octat Borussia Monchengladbach2–3xG 1.55–2.60
Tue 20 Octat Atletico de Madrid1–1xG 1.36–0.90

SV Werder BremenWLWWDD

Scored 14 · Conceded 11

Sat 31 Octat TSG Hoffenheim2–0xG 1.66–1.44
Tue 27 Octat Borussia Dortmund2–3xG 1.35–1.60
Sat 24 Octat FSV Mainz 053–2xG 2.99–1.59
Sat 24 Octat 1. FSV Mainz 053–2xG 2.69–1.70
Sat 17 Octat SC Paderborn 072–2xG 2.57–1.25
Fri 9 Octat Borussia Dortmund2–2xG 0.77–2.04

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

VfB Stuttgart: −0.36 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 11.78 xG, conceded 11 on 10.60 xG against.

SV Werder Bremen: +0.10 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 12.04 xG, conceded 11 on 9.62 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

VfB Stuttgart win

61.2%

58.3%

58.8%

Draw

18.7%

20.4%

20.7%

SV Werder Bremen win

20.0%

21.3%

20.5%

VfB Stuttgart or draw

80.0%

—

79.5%

VfB Stuttgart or SV Werder Bremen

81.3%

—

79.3%

Draw or SV Werder Bremen

38.8%

—

41.2%

Over 1.5 goals

90.8%

—

83.5%

Under 1.5 goals

9.2%

—

16.6%

Over 2.5 goals

75.6%

71.9%

64.1%

Under 2.5 goals

24.4%

28.1%

35.9%

Over 3.5 goals

55.9%

—

42.8%

Under 3.5 goals

44.1%

—

57.2%

Both teams to score

70.2%

—

61.1%

Not both teams to score

29.8%

—

38.9%

VfB Stuttgart to score

92.1%

—

85.1%

SV Werder Bremen to score

76.0%

—

57.9%

2.2%

2.4%

1.9%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

4.6%

7.2%

4.9%

2.3%

0.8%

0.2%

6.1%

8.7%

6.2%

3.0%

1.1%

0.3%

5.2%

7.4%

5.3%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

3.3%

4.7%

3.3%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

1.7%

2.4%

1.7%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%