LaLigaCalibrated

Villarreal vs Getafe

Monday 9 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Villarreal win	57.3%	67.9%	54.3%
Draw	24.3%	20.2%	24.4%
Getafe win	18.4%	11.9%	21.3%
Villarreal or draw	81.6%	—	78.7%
Villarreal or Getafe	75.7%	—	75.6%
Draw or Getafe	42.7%	—	45.6%
Over 1.5 goals	70.8%	—	78.4%
Under 1.5 goals	29.2%	—	21.6%
Over 2.5 goals	45.1%	52.6%	55.1%
Under 2.5 goals	54.9%	47.4%	44.9%
Over 3.5 goals	23.8%	—	31.5%
Under 3.5 goals	76.2%	—	68.5%
Both teams to score	45.3%	—	54.0%
Not both teams to score	54.7%	—	46.0%
Villarreal to score	80.9%	—	82.1%
Getafe to score	56.0%	—	58.7%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.4%	6.9%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.9%	11.4%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
2	11.5%	9.5%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
3	6.4%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.9%
2.2–011.5%
3.1–111.4%
4.2–19.5%
5.0–08.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.66 – 0.82. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

VillarrealLLWWLD

Scored 10 · Conceded 12

Tue 3 Novat Paris Saint Germain0–6xG 0.80–2.88
Fri 30 Octat Espanyol0–1xG 1.06–0.36
Tue 27 Octat Manacor5–0xG 2.03–0.33
Sat 24 Octat Valencia CF2–1xG 1.46–1.27
Tue 20 Octat Liverpool3–4xG 1.42–2.33
Sat 17 Octat Elche CF0–0xG 1.83–0.37

GetafeLWWLLD

Scored 9 · Conceded 14

Thu 5 Novat Brighton & Hove Albion0–1xG 0.40–1.22
Sun 1 Novat Sevilla FC3–1xG 1.58–0.95
Thu 29 Octat Lebrijana3–2xG 1.61–0.84
Sun 25 Octat Athletic Club0–4xG 0.52–0.64
Thu 22 Octat Lugano2–5xG 2.50–1.75
Mon 19 Octat Rayo Vallecano1–1xG 0.98–1.82

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Villarreal: −0.51 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 8.60 xG, conceded 12 on 7.55 xG against.

Getafe: −0.89 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 7.58 xG, conceded 14 on 7.22 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Villarreal win

57.3%

67.9%

54.3%

Draw

24.3%

20.2%

24.4%

Getafe win

18.4%

11.9%

21.3%

Villarreal or draw

81.6%

—

78.7%

Villarreal or Getafe

75.7%

—

75.6%

Draw or Getafe

42.7%

—

45.6%

Over 1.5 goals

70.8%

—

78.4%

Under 1.5 goals

29.2%

—

21.6%

Over 2.5 goals

45.1%

52.6%

55.1%

Under 2.5 goals

54.9%

47.4%

44.9%

Over 3.5 goals

23.8%

—

31.5%

Under 3.5 goals

76.2%

—

68.5%

Both teams to score

45.3%

—

54.0%

Not both teams to score

54.7%

—

46.0%

Villarreal to score

80.9%

—

82.1%

Getafe to score

56.0%

—

58.7%

8.4%

6.9%

2.8%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

13.9%

11.4%

4.7%

1.3%

0.3%

0.0%

11.5%

9.5%

3.9%

1.1%

0.2%

0.0%

6.4%

5.2%

2.1%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

2.6%

2.2%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

0.9%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%