Ligue 1Calibrated

Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Stade Brestois win	34.8%	33.9%	44.1%
Draw	24.1%	27.1%	26.7%
Olympique Lyonnais win	41.0%	39.1%	29.2%
Stade Brestois or draw	59.0%	—	70.8%
Stade Brestois or Olympique Lyonnais	75.9%	—	73.2%
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais	65.2%	—	55.9%
Over 1.5 goals	83.5%	—	73.2%
Under 1.5 goals	16.5%	—	26.8%
Over 2.5 goals	62.3%	50.0%	49.1%
Under 2.5 goals	37.7%	50.0%	50.9%
Over 3.5 goals	40.1%	—	27.9%
Under 3.5 goals	59.9%	—	72.1%
Both teams to score	64.2%	—	53.6%
Not both teams to score	35.8%	—	46.4%
Stade Brestois to score	78.5%	—	74.5%
Olympique Lyonnais to score	81.4%	—	64.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 12 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.4%	6.3%	5.7%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
1	5.7%	10.8%	8.7%	4.9%	2.0%	0.7%
2	4.7%	7.9%	6.7%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%
3	2.4%	4.1%	3.4%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.8%
2.1–28.7%
3.2–17.9%
4.2–26.7%
5.0–16.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.68. Correlation -0.04.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Stade BrestoisWLDWDL

Scored 12 · Conceded 8

Mon 2 Novat FC Lorient2–0xG 1.04–1.93
Fri 23 Octat OGC Nice1–2xG 1.79–0.72
Sat 17 Octat LOSC Lille1–1xG 0.52–2.08
Sat 10 Octat Angers SCO5–1xG 2.79–1.26
Sat 3 Octat AC Monza2–2
Sun 20 Septat AJ Auxerre1–2xG 0.38–0.91

Olympique LyonnaisDWLLWW

Scored 8 · Conceded 9

Thu 5 Novat Real Sociedad1–1xG 0.94–1.17
Sun 1 Novat Angers SCO2–0xG 2.52–0.62
Mon 26 Octat Paris Saint Germain0–2xG 0.90–1.51
Thu 22 Octat TSG Hoffenheim0–3xG 0.66–1.91
Sun 18 Octat OGC Nice2–1xG 1.38–1.33
Thu 15 Octat Crystal Palace3–2xG 2.60–2.52

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Stade Brestois: +0.88 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 10 on 6.51 xG, conceded 6 on 6.90 xG against.

Olympique Lyonnais: −0.16 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 8 on 9.01 xG, conceded 9 on 9.05 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Stade Brestois win

34.8%

33.9%

44.1%

Draw

24.1%

27.1%

26.7%

Olympique Lyonnais win

41.0%

39.1%

29.2%

Stade Brestois or draw

59.0%

—

70.8%

Stade Brestois or Olympique Lyonnais

75.9%

—

73.2%

Draw or Olympique Lyonnais

65.2%

—

55.9%

Over 1.5 goals

83.5%

—

73.2%

Under 1.5 goals

16.5%

—

26.8%

Over 2.5 goals

62.3%

50.0%

49.1%

Under 2.5 goals

37.7%

50.0%

50.9%

Over 3.5 goals

40.1%

—

27.9%

Under 3.5 goals

59.9%

—

72.1%

Both teams to score

64.2%

—

53.6%

Not both teams to score

35.8%

—

46.4%

Stade Brestois to score

78.5%

—

74.5%

Olympique Lyonnais to score

81.4%

—

64.2%

4.4%

6.3%

5.7%

3.2%

1.3%

0.4%

5.7%

10.8%

8.7%

4.9%

2.0%

0.7%

4.7%

7.9%

6.7%

3.7%

1.6%

0.5%

2.4%

4.1%

3.4%

1.9%

0.8%

0.3%

0.9%

1.6%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%