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Serie ACalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 00:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma win | 23.4% | 19.6% | 25.3% |
| Draw | 25.5% | 26.6% | 28.0% |
| Bologna win | 51.1% | 53.8% | 46.7% |
| Parma or draw | 48.9% | — | 53.3% |
| Parma or Bologna | 74.5% | — | 72.0% |
| Draw or Bologna | 76.6% | — | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% | — | 66.0% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28.6% | — | 34.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.8% | 45.2% | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.2% | 54.8% | 59.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% | — | 19.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.6% | — | 80.1% |
| Both teams to score | 48.6% | — | 43.1% |
| Not both teams to score | 51.4% | — | 56.9% |
| Parma to score | 61.6% | — | 55.9% |
| Bologna to score | 78.8% | — | 72.8% |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 0.96 – 1.55. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 5 · Conceded 9
Scored 12 · Conceded 8
Parma: +0.32 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 5 games: scored 4 on 4.76 xG, conceded 8 on 10.37 xG against.
Bologna: +0.59 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 12 on 8.77 xG, conceded 8 on 8.31 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.