LaLigaCalibrated

Celta Vigo vs Levante UD

Monday 9 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Celta Vigo win	51.5%	51.5%	42.7%
Draw	23.3%	26.0%	27.0%
Levante UD win	25.2%	22.5%	30.3%
Celta Vigo or draw	74.8%	—	69.7%
Celta Vigo or Levante UD	76.7%	—	73.0%
Draw or Levante UD	48.5%	—	57.3%
Over 1.5 goals	81.8%	—	72.5%
Under 1.5 goals	18.2%	—	27.5%
Over 2.5 goals	59.8%	50.0%	47.8%
Under 2.5 goals	40.2%	50.0%	52.2%
Over 3.5 goals	37.4%	—	25.9%
Under 3.5 goals	62.6%	—	74.1%
Both teams to score	60.2%	—	52.4%
Not both teams to score	39.8%	—	47.6%
Celta Vigo to score	84.4%	—	73.8%
Levante UD to score	71.0%	—	64.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.8%	5.3%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
1	8.1%	10.7%	6.5%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	7.8%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.8%	6.0%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.2%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.7%
2.2–19.7%
3.1–08.1%
4.2–07.8%
5.1–26.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.24. Correlation -0.03.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Celta VigoLLDWWL

Scored 6 · Conceded 9

Thu 5 Novat St. Gilloise1–2xG 1.03–2.04
Sat 31 Octat Rayo Vallecano0–3xG 1.35–1.12
Sun 25 Octat Real Betis0–0xG 0.75–1.40
Thu 22 Octat Celtic2–1xG 1.42–0.65
Sun 18 Octat Deportivo Alaves2–1xG 0.86–1.42
Thu 15 Octat Juventus1–2xG 0.83–2.19

Levante UDLLLWDD

Scored 6 · Conceded 9

Sat 31 Octat Atletico de Madrid0–2xG 1.89–0.80
Sat 31 Octat Atletico Madrid0–2xG 1.40–0.70
Sun 25 Octat Real Sociedad1–2xG 0.65–1.99
Wed 21 Octat Athletic Club3–1xG 1.71–2.44
Sat 17 Octat Deportivo La Coruna1–1xG 0.83–1.11
Fri 16 Octat Deportivo A Coruna1–1xG 0.72–1.46

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Celta Vigo: −0.07 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 6 on 6.23 xG, conceded 9 on 8.83 xG against.

Levante UD: −0.28 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 6 on 7.20 xG, conceded 9 on 8.50 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Celta Vigo win

51.5%

42.7%

Draw

23.3%

26.0%

27.0%

Levante UD win

25.2%

22.5%

30.3%

Celta Vigo or draw

74.8%

—

69.7%

Celta Vigo or Levante UD

76.7%

—

73.0%

Draw or Levante UD

48.5%

—

57.3%

Over 1.5 goals

81.8%

—

72.5%

Under 1.5 goals

18.2%

—

27.5%

Over 2.5 goals

59.8%

50.0%

47.8%

Under 2.5 goals

40.2%

50.0%

52.2%

Over 3.5 goals

37.4%

—

25.9%

Under 3.5 goals

62.6%

—

74.1%

Both teams to score

60.2%

—

52.4%

Not both teams to score

39.8%

—

47.6%

Celta Vigo to score

84.4%

—

73.8%

Levante UD to score

71.0%

—

64.9%

4.8%

5.3%

3.5%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

8.1%

10.7%

6.5%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

7.8%

9.7%

6.0%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

4.8%

6.0%

3.7%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

2.2%

2.8%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.8%

1.0%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%