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Liga PortugalCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 03:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave win | 16.7% | 15.7% | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 21.2% | — |
| Sp Braga win | 62.3% | 63.1% | — |
| Rio Ave or draw | 37.7% | — | — |
| Rio Ave or Sp Braga | 79.0% | — | — |
| Draw or Sp Braga | 83.3% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% | 52.6% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.4% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 50.2% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 49.8% | — | — |
| Rio Ave to score | 58.9% | — | — |
| Sp Braga to score | 85.7% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 0.89 – 1.95. Correlation 0.02.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 8 · Conceded 12
Scored 6 · Conceded 6
Rio Ave: −0.22 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 5 games: scored 7 on 4.83 xG, conceded 12 on 8.74 xG against.
Sp Braga: −0.51 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 6 on 7.96 xG, conceded 6 on 4.91 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.