Loading match analysis…
Loading match analysis…
Liga PortugalCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 01:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes win | 17.1% | 18.9% | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 24.1% | — |
| Porto win | 60.4% | 57.0% | — |
| Guimaraes or draw | 39.6% | — | — |
| Guimaraes or Porto | 77.5% | — | — |
| Draw or Porto | 82.9% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.0% | 50.6% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.0% | 49.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 46.2% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 53.8% | — | — |
| Guimaraes to score | 55.8% | — | — |
| Porto to score | 83.1% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 0.82 – 1.78. Correlation 0.02.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 7 · Conceded 5
Scored 13 · Conceded 6
Guimaraes: +0.04 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.28 xG, conceded 5 on 6.49 xG against.
Porto: +0.36 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 13 on 12.32 xG, conceded 6 on 7.48 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.