EredivisiePartial

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord

Sunday 8 November at 18:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Heerenveen win	24.4%	22.3%	—
Draw	22.6%	21.2%	—
Feyenoord win	53.0%	56.5%	—
Heerenveen or draw	47.0%	—	—
Heerenveen or Feyenoord	77.4%	—	—
Draw or Feyenoord	75.6%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	88.5%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	11.5%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	69.8%	67.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	30.2%	32.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	48.6%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	51.4%	—	—
Both teams to score	68.6%	—	—
Not both teams to score	31.4%	—	—
Heerenveen to score	76.4%	—	—
Feyenoord to score	88.5%	—	—

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.7%	4.9%	6.4%	4.6%	2.5%	1.1%
1	2.9%	9.5%	9.2%	6.6%	3.6%	1.5%
2	2.8%	6.1%	6.6%	4.8%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.4%	2.9%	3.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.5%	1.1%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
5	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1.1–19.5%
2.1–29.2%
3.2–26.6%
4.1–36.6%
5.0–26.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.44 – 2.16. Correlation -0.12.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

HeerenveenWWWWWW

Scored 14 · Conceded 4

Sat 31 Octat NEC Nijmegen1–0xG 1.57–1.75
Sat 31 Octat Nijmegen1–0xG 1.42–1.31
Wed 28 Octat Excelsior Maassluis2–0
Sat 24 Octat ADO Den Haag3–2xG 2.71–2.39
Sat 24 Octat Den Haag3–2xG 2.43–2.82
Fri 16 Octat Excelsior4–0xG 2.42–1.06

FeyenoordLDDDLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 10

Tue 3 Novat Inter Milan0–3xG 0.77–1.23
Sat 31 Octat Fortuna Sittard1–1xG 2.14–1.17
Sat 31 Octat For Sittard1–1xG 2.56–0.89
Sun 25 Octat PSV Eindhoven1–1xG 1.78–1.97
Wed 21 Octat Real Betis0–1xG 0.99–2.19
Sat 17 Octat Telstar4–3xG 4.03–1.45

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Heerenveen: +1.35 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 10.56 xG, conceded 4 on 9.33 xG against.

Feyenoord: −1.06 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 12.28 xG, conceded 10 on 8.90 xG against.

Note: Heerenveen are overperforming against xG while Feyenoord are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Heerenveen win

24.4%

22.3%

—

Draw

22.6%

21.2%

—

Feyenoord win

53.0%

56.5%

—

Heerenveen or draw

47.0%

—

Heerenveen or Feyenoord

77.4%

—

Draw or Feyenoord

75.6%

—

Over 1.5 goals

88.5%

—

Under 1.5 goals

11.5%

—

Over 2.5 goals

69.8%

67.3%

—

Under 2.5 goals

30.2%

32.7%

—

Over 3.5 goals

48.6%

—

Under 3.5 goals

51.4%

—

Both teams to score

68.6%

—

Not both teams to score

31.4%

—

Heerenveen to score

76.4%

—

Feyenoord to score

88.5%

—

3.7%

4.9%

6.4%

4.6%

2.5%

1.1%

2.9%

9.5%

9.2%

6.6%

3.6%

1.5%

2.8%

6.1%

6.6%

4.8%

2.6%

1.1%

1.4%

2.9%

3.2%

2.3%

1.2%

0.5%

1.1%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%